WwillmaaAAAA!

[Chemical Ollie]

How do they know it will turn 90 degrees NE after smashing Cancun? At it's current direction of travel, would't it rather use the Gulf to regain power and then hit Texas or Lousiana?

[Lul Thyme]

Originally posted by Atahualpa Since they have already a hard time making a 7 day prediction, I doubt they really know what's going on.

I read the same argument in the paper today and I think in a way it's BS (I don't nec. disagree with the conclusion, just the argument).

I don't know if you'll die tomorrow, of how many people will in your town next week.
Statisticians can tell you with a very low relative error how many will die in the US over the next year.

Similarly, the mean error on the average temperature for next year is probably under 2 degrees, while the same figure for the temperature on a day a month from now is probably closer to 15 degrees.

My point being, yes global climate changes are complicated things that involve lots of things, but local difficulties in predicting weather in the medium term have nothing to do.
Just like knowing who will die withing a year has nothing to do with demographics...

[Az]

Originally posted by KrazyHorse
Why?

It's barely going to brush the Yucatan.

I'd think that Florida was going to get it worse.

Oh, don't worry, I think it's going to chomp Cancun and the rest of the yucatan, and then regain enough strength in the gulf for a 2nd round in florida.

[chequita guevara]

Originally posted by Dr Strangelove
Biy, aren't we all glad it's not going to hit New Orleans?

I wish it were. At least that city is already ruined.

[chequita guevara]

Originally posted by Chemical Ollie
How do they know it will turn 90 degrees NE after smashing Cancun? At it's current direction of travel, would't it rather use the Gulf to regain power and then hit Texas or Lousiana?

There's a trough coming down over the Gulf that is pulling the storm NW at the moment. In a few days, that trough is expected to be filled by high level Jet Stream winds, which will push the storm to the East. Depending on how much time Wilma spends over the Yucatan, however, all bets dould be off.

[Grandpa Troll]

Originally posted by chegitz guevara


There's a trough coming down over the Gulf that is pulling the storm NW at the moment. In a few days, that trough is expected to be filled by high level Jet Stream winds, which will push the storm to the East. Depending on how much time Wilma spends over the Yucatan, however, all bets dould be off.

yeah..im monitoring as well for the longer it stays to the south moving n or nw or nnw the greater our chances are of it reforming stronger over the gulfstream along the eastern seaboard

but..time will tell

Gramps

[Zkribbler]

Extended projections show Wilma coming back on shore between Cape Cod and Maine. Just what that area needs, more rain.

[chequita guevara]

We are a foot over normal rainfall.

[chequita guevara]

Oh, we won't be evacuating. The hurricane didn't give us enough notice for me to stop my student loan from being automatically deducted from my bank account, which was the money we needed to get the car. Fortunately, the storm looks like it's gonna fall apart.

[BlackCat]

Lemme see - snakes, both alien and domestic, alligators (no crokodiles yet, but probably soon), mosqutioes or their like, squirrels, four hurricanes a year, police that scares people, pensionists, sharks, drug wars (yeah, I'v seen it all revealed in miami vice) - pleas tell me why you stay ????? It can't be the babes on the beach - at least not for you unless you want trouble

[Zkribbler]

He likes the hanging chads.

[Grandpa Troll]

Originally posted by Zkribbler
He likes the hanging chads.

I say there are no hanging chads in the state

[MrFun]

Originally posted by DinoDoc
Does your wife know that other women have been having thier way with you?

I didn't know you care.

[Theben]

For a storm that has been near the shore for several hours, it's eye is still way too intact... oh, and weather.com says the storm will crawl up the coast line of the yucatan. That area will be wrecked.

[chequita guevara]

Originally posted by BlackCat
Lemme see - snakes, both alien and domestic, alligators (no crokodiles yet, but probably soon)

We have crocs. The American crocodile is native to the Everglades. It is, however, a shy creature, and there has never been a reported unprovoked attack on a human. Their population is rebounding, and they've been catching some of them in suburban areas now.