Will bush get relected

[Kramerman]

Originally posted by Kontiki
Bush's success in the 2004 election hinges entirely on the outcome of the Iraq war (more importantly, the aftermath) and the state of the economy. All in all, too early to tell.

i agree

[Dis]

not a chance.

[DuncanK]

Originally posted by St Leo
and the WoD will be found.

Make sure you file off the "Made in USA" and "Copyright (c) 2003" inscriptions before presenting them to the UN.

Nader in 2004.

I think you mean "Made in Germany"

[St Leo]

I think you mean "Made in Germany"

I think I mean "Made in USA in 2003 and covertly sneaked into the hitherto WMD-free Iraq after the coast is clear".

[Ned]

I think Hillary could beat Bush. She is one of the few Democrats out there with "gravitas." The other I know of is Joe Biden. He has said that he is thinking about running.

Lieberman also appears to have his act together. However, he doesn't have the charm of Biden or the pure intelligence of Clinton.

[chequita guevara]

Kerry-Edwards will defeat Bush-? (Cheney's not running again).

[DuncanK]

Originally posted by St Leo
I think you mean "Made in Germany"

I think I mean "Made in USA in 2003 and covertly sneaked into the hitherto WMD-free Iraq after the coast is clear".

hmmm... It almost seems like you actually believe that he doesn't have WoMD.

[Shi Huangdi]

Originally posted by chegitz guevara
The war will have no impact on the elections next year (though a messy occupation may well hurt him). It didn't help his old man. People vote with their wallets and their stomachs. Unless the economy rebounds spectacularly or the Dem's choose a loser, Bush is just another one-term-wonder like his old man.

Not nessecarily. That was before 9/11 that his old man could not be saved by a sucsessful war. In GHWB's time, the Soviet Empire was collapsing and it was time Americans could feel more secure, so national security wouldn't be as big of an issue. Now is a time when we are feeling less secure then ever. If say, the economy gets hit hard but we are victorious in Iraq, GWB could make the argument to the American people that the economy is bad because of Gulf War II, but was nessecary to protect Americans. In the post 9/11 world, people might be more willing to trade economics for security. Moreover, what you guys aren't counting on is the possibility of the US using Iraq is a jumping off point to attack more countries that support terrorism, such as Iran. We also might take action against some countries with suspected Al-Qaeda ties such as Somalia or Liberia. By November 2004 Iraq may be over and we may be in the midst of a new anti-terrorism campaign.

[chequita guevara]

Bush won't get Florida this time around though, since they were forced to reinstate all the people the illegally took off the roles last time.

[DinoDoc]

Originally posted by chegitz guevara
Bush won't get Florida this time around though,

You mean that the Dems will actually request a statewide recount this time?

[chequita guevara]

They won't need one. Without the vote fraud, the margine of victory should be enough to remove any doubt as to the intent of Florida's voters.

[Shi Huangdi]

Originally posted by chegitz guevara
Bush won't get Florida this time around though, since they were forced to reinstate all the people the illegally took off the roles last time.

You don't need to win Florida to carry the country. Bush might win where he didn't last year in Pennsylvania, Michigian, Iowa, New Mexico, etc. And given Jeb's huge victory in 2002, I wouldn't rule out GWB carrying Florida again. Maybe this time in Pennsylvania the dead won't turn out as highly as they have done in the past.

[chequita guevara]

Jeb ran against a shlub, McBride, whose victory was assured when Black people couldn't vote for Reno in the primary (because of the purged voters). Not that Reno would have won either, but she woulda come a lot closer.

[Ramo]

Shrub's re-election is dependent entirely upon whether or not the Dems suddenly get a spine.

[DinoDoc]

Wesley Clark might be the Dems best hope if he decides to throw his hat in the ring.