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Roe v. Wade: How likely is a reversal?

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  • #1

    Roe v. Wade: How likely is a reversal?

    Was having a discussion today...was wondering what poly thinks about this.

    How likely do you think it would be for the Supreme Court decision which legalized abortion to be overturned? If so, what would the consequences be politically. How do the numbers of Pro-choice v. Pro-lifers stack up in America?
    "Chegitz, still angry about the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991?
    You provide no source. You PROVIDE NOTHING! And yet you want to destroy capitalism.. you criminal..." - Fez

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  • #2
    Re: Roe v. Wade: How likely is a reversal?

    Originally posted by orange
    If so, what would the consequences be politically.
    It wouldn't declare abortion illegal if that is what you mean. The issue would only be returned to where it belongs: The States.
    I make no bones about my moral support for [terrorist] organizations. - chegitz guevara
    For those who aspire to live in a high cost, high tax, big government place, our nation and the world offers plenty of options. Vermont, Canada and Venezuela all offer you the opportunity to live in the socialist, big government paradise you long for. –Senator Rubio

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    • #3
      For a reversal we would need another Anti RvW SC justice to tip the balance...
      "I'm moving to the Left" - Lancer

      "I imagine the neighbors on your right are estatic." - Slowwhand

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      • #4
        I don't think the Supremes would overturn Roe even if the balance tipped to the right-wing...
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        • #5
          Even if Roe v. Wade were reversed, I don't think the practical effect on abortion rights would be very great. It wouldn't mean that abortion was outlawed at the federal level, just that each state would be able to pass its own laws on the subject. Even the states where a majority supports an abortion ban have minorities with political clout which would fight with everything they had to keep abortion legal. And the largest states, like New York and California, are strongly pro-choice.
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          • #6
            Do pigs fly?
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            • #7
              Originally posted by reismark
              Do pigs fly?
              According to Democratic partisans, they do.
              I make no bones about my moral support for [terrorist] organizations. - chegitz guevara
              For those who aspire to live in a high cost, high tax, big government place, our nation and the world offers plenty of options. Vermont, Canada and Venezuela all offer you the opportunity to live in the socialist, big government paradise you long for. –Senator Rubio

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              • #8
                Re: Re: Roe v. Wade: How likely is a reversal?

                Originally posted by DinoDoc
                It wouldn't declare abortion illegal if that is what you mean. The issue would only be returned to where it belongs: The States.
                Of course, but regardless, it would have political consequences...wouldn't you agree?

                Does anyone know a rough estimate of the percentage of the number of Americans who are pro-choice compared to pro-life.
                "Chegitz, still angry about the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991?
                You provide no source. You PROVIDE NOTHING! And yet you want to destroy capitalism.. you criminal..." - Fez

                "I was hoping for a Communist utopia that would last forever." - Imran Siddiqui

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                • #9
                  It's roughly about the same, according the polls I have seen Orange.
                  http://monkspider.blogspot.com/

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                  • #10
                    Poll reveals most Americans don't know facts on Roe vs. Wade › The Forerunner
                    http://www.forerunner.com/forerunner/X0463_Poll__Americans__Roe.html


                    This is rather funny if it's true. (I'm not sure about its validity.)
                    "You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Shi Huangdi
                      For a reversal we would need another Anti RvW SC justice to tip the balance...
                      could happen in this presidency, no?
                      "Chegitz, still angry about the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991?
                      You provide no source. You PROVIDE NOTHING! And yet you want to destroy capitalism.. you criminal..." - Fez

                      "I was hoping for a Communist utopia that would last forever." - Imran Siddiqui

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        bah, not more states' rights BS... just an excuse for conservatives to ban abortion...
                        To us, it is the BEAST.

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                        • #13
                          Re: Re: Re: Roe v. Wade: How likely is a reversal?

                          Originally posted by orange
                          Does anyone know a rough estimate of the percentage of the number of Americans who are pro-choice compared to pro-life.
                          32. I'm going to read some specific situations under which an abortion might be considered. For each, please say whether you think an abortion should be legal in that situation, or illegal.

                          1/20/03 - Summary Table

                          Legal Illegal No opinion
                          a. When the woman's life
                          is endangered 88 10 2
                          b. When the woman's physical
                          health is endangered 82 14 4
                          c. When there's evidence the baby
                          will be physically impaired 54 40 6
                          d. When the pregnancy was
                          caused by rape or incest 81 17 2
                          e. When the woman is not married
                          and does not want the baby 42 57 2
                          f. When the woman is in the sixth
                          month or pregnancy or later 11 86 3
                          g. In late-term procedures known
                          as dilation and extraction,
                          or partial-birth abortions 23 69 8

                          Trend:

                          a. When the woman's life is endangered

                          Legal Illegal No opinion
                          1/20/03 88 10 2
                          1/15/01 90 8 1
                          1/13/98 83 15 2
                          7/28/96* 88 7 5
                          4/13/89 89 8 4

                          b. When the woman's physical health is endangered

                          Legal Illegal No opinion
                          1/20/03 82 14 4
                          1/15/01 85 14 1
                          1/13/98 79 19 2
                          7/28/96* 82 11 8

                          c. When there's evidence the baby will be physically impaired

                          Legal Illegal No opinion
                          1/20/03 54 40 6
                          1/13/98 58 38 4
                          7/28/96 53 37 10*
                          *Gallup. No opinion and "depends" combined.


                          d. When the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest

                          Legal Illegal No opinion
                          1/20/03 81 17 2
                          1/15/01 83 16 2
                          1/13/98 78 20 2
                          7/28/96* 77 18 5
                          e. When the woman is not married and does not want the baby Legal Illegal No opinion
                          1/20/03 42 57 2
                          1/15/01 44 55 1
                          1/13/98 39 59 2

                          http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/vault/stories/data012103.htm
                          I make no bones about my moral support for [terrorist] organizations. - chegitz guevara
                          For those who aspire to live in a high cost, high tax, big government place, our nation and the world offers plenty of options. Vermont, Canada and Venezuela all offer you the opportunity to live in the socialist, big government paradise you long for. –Senator Rubio

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                          • #14
                            With a very slight change to the members of the US Suporeme Court, Roe vs Wade couod be overturned. The Bush administration is counting on vacancies to do just that.

                            Judicial control is really the prime stuggle that will be waged in the coming 2 years. The right wing knows that if it can get control for a short time it will have judges that will reflect right-wing values for a generation.
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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by cavebear
                              With a very slight change to the members of the US Suporeme Court, Roe vs Wade couod be overturned. The Bush administration is counting on vacancies to do just that.

                              Judicial control is really the prime stuggle that will be waged in the coming 2 years. The right wing knows that if it can get control for a short time it will have judges that will reflect right-wing values for a generation.
                              one of the many problems with the out-dated American democracy...
                              To us, it is the BEAST.

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