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  • Speaking in free market terms, the possible supply of loans drops to 0 as you approach 0% interest rates. Even if the government gave away money at less than 0% interest (by setting prime as negative), there's no incentive for the banks to lend that money out to anyone. They'd borrow it and keep it for a year if nobody was willing to reborrow it for >0%.

    Same with oranges; there's no supplier willing to sell you oranges at less than 0 dollars a pound; no matter how cheaply he got them, he'd rather throw them out than give you money to take them.
    12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
    Stadtluft Macht Frei
    Killing it is the new killing it
    Ultima Ratio Regum

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
      Scary... like that famous quote about the guy not saying anything when the Nazis came for other people... and then there was no one left to speak for him when they came for him.
      OK. (follow this - it has a point unrelated to my opinion of hippies) I must say, that i hate hippies. I think they are dirty, ignorant anarchists (i wont mention hippocrites, cause everyone is one) who are lazy and complain and feed off the very society that allows them to live how they want to live. Now, let me stop there, i dont want to get into my fathers homcoming from Vietnam story.....
      Anyway, for as much as i hate hippies, they would never stay quiet for anybody to be locked up. They are the first to jump on the US government for any reason, no matter how small, and so there should be no worries of people protesting this action loudly. They arent the only group that would protest this as well, not to mention the international condemnation. United States citizens have a long track record of being loud, and fighting for what they believe. That is one of the reasons why we have been able to grow and prosper, becuase we are dynamic, never static for too long (with exceptions) and always changing - forever striving for our ideals that we will probably never reach.

      Kman
      "I bet Ikarus eats his own spunk..."
      - BLACKENED from America's Army: Operations
      Kramerman - Creator and Author of The Epic Tale of Navalon in the Civ III Stories Forum

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      • Kontiki, Japan has been in the economic doldrums since 1992 because real interest rates have been too high, even at approximately zero. This same phenomenon occurred to the United States in the '30s. There is a real posibility of it happening again, IMHO, although the two strong stock market rallies in the last week provide hope.

        I am not a rich man by any means. But I personally have lost hundreds of thousands in the current bear market. Rich people have lost millions and billions. This loss of real money has got to be reversed. It can be reversed by reducing the cost of loans as much as possible.

        Perhaphs Frogger you and others are right that no bank will lend money at negative interest rates. But would I buy house in a falling housing price market of 10% per year at 6% interest The real rate is 16%, a whopper by historical standards.

        Deflation is a killer economically.
        http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

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        • This loss of real money has got to be reversed


          There's no loss of real money in market downturns. The only real loss that happens is when the companies earnings go below zero. Everything else is just psychology.
          12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
          Stadtluft Macht Frei
          Killing it is the new killing it
          Ultima Ratio Regum

          Comment


          • Frogger, If a bank could borrow money at -1% and just sit on it make a nominal profit, it would. But in reality it loans that money out to others at approx. 2 percent greater than it cost of borrowing. Thus a -1% fed rate would lead to a 1% prime rate. Something like that is needed.

            As to the 0% autoloans, if the car makers make a buck off of moving iron, they should keep the autoloans permanently at 0%. Why would they ever charge more? In fact, why don't they charge negative interest? This would move a lot more iron, inreasing profits?
            http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

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            • If the banks could borrow money from the gov't at less than 0% there would be a run on available credit. It's like what happens when you set price controls on products so low that they're sold out before they reach the store. Demand goes through infinity as you go to 0% interest.
              12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
              Stadtluft Macht Frei
              Killing it is the new killing it
              Ultima Ratio Regum

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Ned


                Fez, I'm sorry, but we recently had and still do have 0% autoloans. This has not caused any collapse of anything. What it did was spur auto sales.

                Ditto if we reduce short term business loans to 0%. It will spur business, create new jobs, etc. This is what the US economy needs.
                No, what you are proposing is to collapse the banking system by setting real interest rates to 0% percentage what is pure stupidity. You would establish an hyper-deflationary period and shortly after the state starts printing up tons of money that process will reverse into hyper-inflation. Has it happened before? I am not sure.

                So quit talking about something you obviously don't know about. Policies like your's are similar to that of what Mexico had in 1994 and caused the whole banking system to meltdown. To reliquidate the banking system 20% of the GDP was liduidated.

                Also you have to look at the Laffer Curve for therein if you reduce taxes to a amount low enough business will start to grow. Lowering interest rates is hardly the whole picture, Bush's tax cut is the major part.

                If you wish to say something I suggest you study about it before hand because I just finished a year of an intensive university level AP economics class.
                For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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                • This is becoming an economic thread...

                  A) Japan's problems are far more complex than its interest rates. For the record, its REAL rates are below zero, its NOMINAL rates are approximately zero. Aside from that, there is a fundamental avoidance of borrowing in the country - for some reason, people would rather save even at rediculously low rates than borrow. The kairitzu (sp?) system isn't helping much either. You overestimate the power of monetary policy. Not to say it's insignificant, just that there are other factors at work.

                  B) I'm amazed that I have to point this out, but one of the basic principles of a free market is "why charge a dollar for something when you can charge two and still sell the same amount". Car companies do make money from their financing divisions (when they aren't offering 0% rates). It's just a balancing act to get the optimum profit from sales and financing. If sales are drying up, of course it makes sense to offer 0% rates. But if people are going to buy cars anyway (ie. stronger economy), then why not make some money off the financing too?
                  "The French caused the war [Persian Gulf war, 1991]" - Ned
                  "you people who bash Bush have no appreciation for one of the great presidents in our history." - Ned
                  "I wish I had gay sex in the boy scouts" - Dissident

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                  • I can't believe Ned is still going on about this! HOLY CRAP! As a recently graduated economist, I have to say that arguing with Ned that negative rates is silly and foolish is just a waste of my time. Frogger, Fez, Kontiki, you are doing a bang up job, but you'll never change his warped views. Agree to disagree .
                    “I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
                    - John 13:34-35 (NRSV)

                    Comment


                    • Re: This is becoming an economic thread...

                      Originally posted by Kontiki
                      A) Japan's problems are far more complex than its interest rates. For the record, its REAL rates are below zero, its NOMINAL rates are approximately zero. Aside from that, there is a fundamental avoidance of borrowing in the country - for some reason, people would rather save even at rediculously low rates than borrow. The kairitzu (sp?) system isn't helping much either. You overestimate the power of monetary policy. Not to say it's insignificant, just that there are other factors at work.

                      B) I'm amazed that I have to point this out, but one of the basic principles of a free market is "why charge a dollar for something when you can charge two and still sell the same amount". Car companies do make money from their financing divisions (when they aren't offering 0% rates). It's just a balancing act to get the optimum profit from sales and financing. If sales are drying up, of course it makes sense to offer 0% rates. But if people are going to buy cars anyway (ie. stronger economy), then why not make some money off the financing too?
                      Kontiki, Real rates below zero? From my understanding of the situation in Japan, there is a gigantic banking crisis that the government has refused to address seriously. Many banks have bad loans secured by property worth far less than the loans. If there were to be a mass foreclosure in this environment, real estate prices would be driven down even more.

                      Isn't this right?
                      http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

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                      • If the Arab Americans can fight against Arab countries with the same ferocity as the German Americans against Germany, nobody would ever mention locking them up.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by DinoDoc
                          Korematsu is still "valid" law is it not.
                          Likely not with the passage of several civil rights act since then. The is also a good chance it would be reversed on its face given various 14th amendment decisions since then. What a travesty of a case, with the majority decision writtten by the great liberal justice of the last century, Douglas with spport of all the FDR appointed justices, opposed by the consevative on the court.
                          Gaius Mucius Scaevola Sinistra
                          Japher: "crap, did I just post in this thread?"
                          "Bloody hell, Lefty.....number one in my list of persons I have no intention of annoying, ever." Bugs ****ing Bunny
                          From a 6th grader who readily adpated to internet culture: "Pay attention now, because your opinions suck"

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                          • Originally posted by Lefty Scaevola

                            Likely not with the passage of several civil rights act since then. The is also a good chance it would be reversed on its face given various 14th amendment decisions since then. What a travesty of a case, with the majority decision writtten by the great liberal justice of the last century, Douglas with spport of all the FDR appointed justices, opposed by the consevative on the court.
                            Interesting how the court split on this one, with FDR appointees supporting him and Republicans against.

                            But still the point of the case is that racial discrimination is not absolutely prohibited and could be justified by compelling governmental interests of sufficient gravity.

                            In my observation, the Supreme Court tends to uphold reductions in individual rights during times of war.
                            http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

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                            • Originally posted by DinoDoc
                              I don't want any of them (persons of Arab ancestry) here. They are a dangerous element. There is no way to determine their loyalty. ... The danger of the Arab was, and is now-if they are permitted to come back-espionage and sabotage. It makes no difference whether he is an American citizen, he is still an Arab. American citizenship does not necessarily determine loyalty. ... But we must worry about the Arabs all the time until he is wiped off the map. Sabotage and espionage will make problems as long as he is allowed in this area. [/paraphrase]
                              This same 'nice Ned' suggested it was racist when a sovereign democracy would decide which and how many immigrants to admit to its territory.

                              Of course refusing Europeans is racist, refusing Arabs or Muslims is not!

                              Now we are not discussing immigrants, but naturalized citizens of non-European descent and....

                              Originally posted by Ned
                              S. Kroeze, You make it sound so simple. But it is not.

                              "The only solution of tile problem put forward by the Arab Higher Committee was the immediate establishment of all independent Arab Government, which would deal with the 400,000 Jews now in Palestine as it thought fit."

                              This is a quote from the Peel Commisssion report.

                              The end to the Jewish presence in Palestine was and to, some extent, is still the ultimate Arab goal. A second, Final Solution.

                              You suggest that we Americans could round up all illegal Mexicans and simply return them to Mexico. But, there are tens of millions of them! There may be some lunatics who could advocate this, but can you imagine the human suffering this would cause if it were actuallly attempted? The mere advocacy of such a position is astoundingly racist.

                              But this is exactly what you and your Arab brethern were and still are advocating. The fate of the Jews in Palestine, if you had your way, would be the same fate they suffered at the hands of the Nazi's.
                              Jews have the Torah, Zionists have a State

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Lord Merciless
                                If the Arab Americans can fight against Arab countries with the same ferocity as the German Americans against Germany, nobody would ever mention locking them up.
                                You're just full to brim with bull**** arguments, aren't ya, "Merciless"?

                                Perhaps nobody should mention locking them up simply because it goes against every principle our country allegedly stands for?

                                Who gives a **** if they're willing to fight against Arab countries? Which, incidentally, is an interesting litmus test, seeing as how we're not currently fighting against any Arab country, nor have we for a number of years.
                                "My nation is the world, and my religion is to do good." --Thomas Paine
                                "The subject of onanism is inexhaustable." --Sigmund Freud

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