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it's not good betting, because you haven't got a hope of winning it!
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"The Christian way has not been tried and found wanting, it has been found to be hard and left untried" - GK Chesterton.
"The most obvious predicition about the future is that it will be mostly like the past" - Alain de Botton -
The idea with betting is not to back Man Utd at home every week just because they are likely to win. Good betting is picking out odds which suggest a smaller likelihood of an event happening than what you perceive is the real probability. Ie looking for value. You don't make money picking out the "certainties" every week, because a few will always fail.www.my-piano.blogspotComment
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And most of the longshots fail.
The bookies are always the winners in the long run.Jon Miller: MikeH speaks the truth
Jon Miller: MikeH is a shockingly revolting dolt and a masturbatory urine-reeking sideshow freak whose word is as valuable as an aging cow paddy.
We've got both kindsComment
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PA, it's a bit like saying that a horse at 66/1, is a good bet because his recent form suggested he's more like a 50/1 shot. that may well be so but the bugger still ain't gonna win it!"The Christian way has not been tried and found wanting, it has been found to be hard and left untried" - GK Chesterton.
"The most obvious predicition about the future is that it will be mostly like the past" - Alain de BottonComment
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Did n't someone in the papers do a piece just after Xmas that showed if you'd had bet a set amount (say 100 quid) on Chelsea, ManU and Arsenal in every game where they didn't play each other, you'd have been in profit?Originally posted by Park Avenue
The idea with betting is not to back Man Utd at home every week just because they are likely to win. Good betting is picking out odds which suggest a smaller likelihood of an event happening than what you perceive is the real probability. Ie looking for value. You don't make money picking out the "certainties" every week, because a few will always fail.Comment
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Saw the Arsenal/Chelsea game yesterday afternoon on ESPN2. Great game, especially in the final 10 minutes."I predict your ignore will rival Ben's" - Ecofarm
^ The Poly equivalent of:
"I hope you can see this 'cause I'm [flipping you off] as hard as I can" - Ignignokt the MooniniteComment
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This is true, but offered odds seldom give benefit over actual odds unless bookies offerings are exceedinly skewed by a lot of people with poor perception of reality.Originally posted by Park Avenue
Good betting is picking out odds which suggest a smaller likelihood of an event happening than what you perceive is the real probability.One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.Comment
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One reason why there is usually value to be found in betting against England, mainly in friendlies.This is true, but offered odds seldom give benefit over actual odds unless bookies offerings are exceedinly skewed by a lot of people with poor perception of reality.www.my-piano.blogspotComment
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Man U are always poor value in the CL if you bet in the UKOriginally posted by Big Crunch
This is true, but offered odds seldom give benefit over actual odds unless bookies offerings are exceedinly skewed by a lot of people with poor perception of reality.Last edited by reds4ever; April 7, 2004, 09:48.Comment
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As are England in any tournament.Jon Miller: MikeH speaks the truth
Jon Miller: MikeH is a shockingly revolting dolt and a masturbatory urine-reeking sideshow freak whose word is as valuable as an aging cow paddy.
We've got both kindsComment
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I didn't say otherwise.Originally posted by reds4ever
Man U are always poor value in the CL if you bet in the UK
Originally posted by reds4ever
As are England in any tournament.
Betting against England is also a good form of hedging.
One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.Comment
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"Betting against England is also a good form of hedging"
Betting on Bolton a couple of months ago always gave a bit of value too.www.my-piano.blogspotComment
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I know, I was agreeing with youOriginally posted by Big Crunch
I didn't say otherwise.
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And looking at the weekend fixture list, Arsenal do admittedly look good value on Bet365 at 2.2 (6/5) away at Newcastle.www.my-piano.blogspotComment
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Stop dreaming. Manure are toast.Only feebs vote.Comment
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