Within 20 years -- thats different . I don't believe that a declared homosexual will win the preseidency in that time frame . Within the 20 years timeframe, a lot of voting power will be wielded by my generation and people older.
The way I look at this is pretty simple
Voters older than me-- on average, little chance as there is a substantial group that would vehemently oppose
My contemporaries-- Possibly a majority of people would have no strong opposition to the concept but a significant minority would be vehemently opposed to a gay president. Combining those with people who oppose the candidate due to policies and party affiliation, I find it unlikely a gay candidate would win the day in this demographic unless they were a far superior candidate
Younger voters-- I believe the vehement anti-gay element is getting smaller and smaller over time. I wouldn't doubt that at some point trhe vehement anti-gay group might be balanced by a similar sized group that votes for a candidate only because (s)he is gay. Once those two groups balance, then the decision rests with the rest of the electorate on the actual merits of the candidates.
I see this taking some time but it will happen. I think there will be a woman president long before though.
The way I look at this is pretty simple
Voters older than me-- on average, little chance as there is a substantial group that would vehemently oppose
My contemporaries-- Possibly a majority of people would have no strong opposition to the concept but a significant minority would be vehemently opposed to a gay president. Combining those with people who oppose the candidate due to policies and party affiliation, I find it unlikely a gay candidate would win the day in this demographic unless they were a far superior candidate
Younger voters-- I believe the vehement anti-gay element is getting smaller and smaller over time. I wouldn't doubt that at some point trhe vehement anti-gay group might be balanced by a similar sized group that votes for a candidate only because (s)he is gay. Once those two groups balance, then the decision rests with the rest of the electorate on the actual merits of the candidates.
I see this taking some time but it will happen. I think there will be a woman president long before though.
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