Originally posted by GP
I guess thinking about it a little more. (For the moment, I'm agnostic as to wether the perceived growth potential in the US market is sound or unsound.) What matters is that the market beleives it so.
Now, I am an American company CEO with a company that is positioned for this implied growth. Suddenly my stock price has shot through the roof. Being the CAPM slave that I am, I notice that my D/E ratio is now out of whack for what the optimum financing structure should be. So, I go out and raise a bunch of debt. That means I now have all kinds of cash on hand. (The debt coming froming overseas capital). That means that I have to either jump into a bunch of new projects or I have to declare a large dividend and disburse the money to my shareholders. hmmm, I guess if I just give the money to my shareholders, it will be put into circulation and there won't be much of an exchange rate effect. (The shareholders will just trade it for euros.) If the money goes into projects, some of it will be sitting in bank accounts for a bit, before the projects get going. And then it will start percolating out to pay for various projects. What will be the effect of that?
I guess thinking about it a little more. (For the moment, I'm agnostic as to wether the perceived growth potential in the US market is sound or unsound.) What matters is that the market beleives it so.
Now, I am an American company CEO with a company that is positioned for this implied growth. Suddenly my stock price has shot through the roof. Being the CAPM slave that I am, I notice that my D/E ratio is now out of whack for what the optimum financing structure should be. So, I go out and raise a bunch of debt. That means I now have all kinds of cash on hand. (The debt coming froming overseas capital). That means that I have to either jump into a bunch of new projects or I have to declare a large dividend and disburse the money to my shareholders. hmmm, I guess if I just give the money to my shareholders, it will be put into circulation and there won't be much of an exchange rate effect. (The shareholders will just trade it for euros.) If the money goes into projects, some of it will be sitting in bank accounts for a bit, before the projects get going. And then it will start percolating out to pay for various projects. What will be the effect of that?
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