Civ 4 will have plenty of competition nonetheless. I'm pretty certain that games such as EE2 or HoI2 will last for long enough to still hav ethe attention of many in early 2006, and AoE3 definitely so. I just wonder how much overlap there is between RTS and TBS purchasers. I know there's a significant number of players who play both, but I think that many have a clear preference of either RTS or TBS. I'd certainly get Civ4 even if it meant no EE2 and no AoE3 for me.
I think Age of Empires III will be the biggest competitor for Civ IV. Empire Earth II, I don't think. I played the demo of it and I didn't really like it.

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