2012 Election Map Prediction Thread

[Jaguar]

http://www.270towin.com/

Here's mine.

[The Mad Monk]

Romney doesn't take Massachusetts?

[Kuciwalker]

OK guys, predictions for how many EVs Ben will predict for Romney? I say 400.

[Jaguar]

I predict that BK will predict 444 EVs for Romney.

[The Mad Monk]

444 electron volts isn't near enough.

[Hauldren Collider]

I just want to know whether ben hands DC to Romney or not.

Also I agree with Jaguar's map, except I would also give Iowa to Romney. Tough call though, a bunch of Evangelicals might stay home. I think in a Romney-victory map, New Hampshire would also go likely red.

Anyway here's my map. New Hampshire I'm kind of on the fence about.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=kAg

[giblets]

Well, here:
303
235

[Hauldren Collider]

I think the case for a blue Virginia is vastly overstated. It relies on a lot of coal-miner democrats (IE de fact West Virginians) voting for him and good minority turnout.

[The Mad Monk]

http://www.270towin.com/

Here's mine.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]171749[/ATTACH]

You're also bucking history -- Ohio always goes to the winner.

[Tupac Shakur]

Too lazy to post the map image. Mine's the same as Jaguar's except for New Hampshire going for Romney. Romney 270 - 268 Obama.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=kAa

[DaShi]

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=kAc

[Hauldren Collider]

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio....php?mapid=kAa

Why do you think NH is more likely to go red than iowa? I'd like to hear your reasoning.

[Tupac Shakur]

New Hampshire is Romney's de facto home state and he's generally well-liked there.

[Hauldren Collider]

Fair enough, that makes sense. If it were say, Rick Perry or some more southern or religious republican, I would guess that Iowa would flip red before NH though.

In that case I'd revise my map to have both Iowa and NH.

[EPW]

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio....php?mapid=kAh