While Galaxy and Smash will sell well, I can guarantee you they'll be outsold by Halo 3.
While the Wii has a large install base, that's because they opened up to grandmas, women, and other people who won't be tempted by Galaxy and Smash. Even Prime 3 sales were rather crap, which should be a big hint.
While Wii has those niche games, the 360 (and its more hardcore gaming crowd) has Halo 3's residual effect (and a huge ad campaign to accompany it), not to mention other heavy hitters like PGR4, Rock Band, Call of Duty 4, Assassin's Creed, and Mass Effect. Not to mention the fact that the 360 has a vast catalog of quality games that the Wii simply doesn't have, so new console purchases will cause a spike in other games like Bioshock, Oblivion, Gears of War, etc.
Simply put, there's no way Wii will win the software war in September, November and December. The 360's sales in hardware will likely surpass the Wii's, and on top of that, the 360 has a much stronger software lineup of more culturally relevant and better-selling games.
Halo 2 alone sold 6.5 million units in November and December 04, and Halo 3 looks to do much more than that. I think that alone will eclipse most Wii sales.
While the Wii has a large install base, that's because they opened up to grandmas, women, and other people who won't be tempted by Galaxy and Smash. Even Prime 3 sales were rather crap, which should be a big hint.
While Wii has those niche games, the 360 (and its more hardcore gaming crowd) has Halo 3's residual effect (and a huge ad campaign to accompany it), not to mention other heavy hitters like PGR4, Rock Band, Call of Duty 4, Assassin's Creed, and Mass Effect. Not to mention the fact that the 360 has a vast catalog of quality games that the Wii simply doesn't have, so new console purchases will cause a spike in other games like Bioshock, Oblivion, Gears of War, etc.
Simply put, there's no way Wii will win the software war in September, November and December. The 360's sales in hardware will likely surpass the Wii's, and on top of that, the 360 has a much stronger software lineup of more culturally relevant and better-selling games.
Halo 2 alone sold 6.5 million units in November and December 04, and Halo 3 looks to do much more than that. I think that alone will eclipse most Wii sales.
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