Yes, I have heard this but there is a break on price decreases actually happening. You see it in places like NYC. Namely, that indebted borrowers have it written into their commercial loan agreements from banks that if they rent out commercial space for less than what they wrote in their loan applications then those, highly leveraged loans, have to be recapitalized by the borrower. So the borrower might have to suddenly kick in an extra $500,000 or two million if they rent a place for less than their unrealistic rent estimate. Now, it is also written into the loan agreement that if commercial space is unrentednthan that portion just gets extended on the backend (loan payment period gets automatically added on to the back end) with only minor carry over interest.
In a truly free market prices would have to drop so that landlords get some money instead of no money but with those style loan agreements it is literally cheaper for the landlord to keep a place empty for up to ten years (at the extreme) then to have to suddenly cough up an additional $2 million to the bank because his loans is suddenly under capitalized due to him renting it for less. Eventually, banks won’t be able to just keep floating them and maybe we are reaching that point in places like NYC. It hasn’t happened yet but it did happen in Japan in the 1990’s.
In a truly free market prices would have to drop so that landlords get some money instead of no money but with those style loan agreements it is literally cheaper for the landlord to keep a place empty for up to ten years (at the extreme) then to have to suddenly cough up an additional $2 million to the bank because his loans is suddenly under capitalized due to him renting it for less. Eventually, banks won’t be able to just keep floating them and maybe we are reaching that point in places like NYC. It hasn’t happened yet but it did happen in Japan in the 1990’s.
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