The Altera Centauri collection has been brought up to date by Darsnan. It comprises every decent scenario he's been able to find anywhere on the web, going back over 20 years.
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Call To Power 2 Cradle 3+ mod in progress: https://apolyton.net/forum/other-games/call-to-power-2/ctp2-creation/9437883-making-cradle-3-fully-compatible-with-the-apolyton-edition
I sense severe misunderstanding of why you're a *****. Long term? Who's talking long term here? DAY TRADING. Look it up
Does this Day Trading thingy include moseying down to the Casino for a spot of roulette? Going for a "straight long position" on say number 9 with a $100 investment for a return of $3,600 sounds like a good investment.
I wouldn't lever up that high but I'm more of a mutual fund sort of guy instead of an active investor. What I really need to do is get a government job so I can use my 9 years of Army service so I can qualify for a government pension in just 11 years and retire by age 45. Then I can be part of the mounting public pension debt problem and laugh when KH whines that his taxes keep going up to pay my pension. Government jobs!
My broker's margin rates are 3%, which seems too low to not take advantage of. I'm already 100% in equities; should I make it 200%?
Rhetorical Questions
"I hope I get to punch you in the face one day" - MRT144, Imran Siddiqui
'I'm fairly certain that a ban on me punching you in the face is not a "right" worth respecting." - loinburger
I'm sure that there were more extreme times than these year-end numbers indicate.
I might not be against a modest amount of leveraging at these rates and asset prices for somebody in your situation. But the time for this really isn't now, I'm afraid. It was two years ago. I did a little bit of leveraging then.
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
Dan, the relevant risk numbers come from comparison to NPV of lifetime earnings (say, post-tax), not to amount invested.
Nobody's provided me with any numerical tools yet (other than pchang's rule of thumb), so I'll attempt to build my own.
The savings represent ~0.4 * after-tax earnings of one year (for both myself and wife). Using that year as base 1, discounting at (say) 5% p.a., and inputting a reasonable future path of nominal income (2% inflation + projected real gains) over the next 20 years I get that they represent ~1.76% of my post-tax lifetime earned income (NPV).
There are some more analytics to be done of, course, but this is where we should start when thinking about this.
is based upon the amount of time you have until retirement. If you want to retire earlier than 65, then you should start de-leveraging sooner. Rough proportionality should be good enough. In the mean time, margin up with the same asset allocation you have now!
“It is no use trying to 'see through' first principles. If you see through everything, then everything is transparent. But a wholly transparent world is an invisible world. To 'see through' all things is the same as not to see.”
KH: I was looking at the probability of being caught unable to make a margin call. Let's pretend the stock market tanks and you lose your job. Is that not a risk?
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
KH: I was looking at the probability of being caught unable to make a margin call. Let's pretend the stock market tanks and you lose your job. Is that not a risk?
Do you think KH entertains the idea of losing his job seriously?
"I hope I get to punch you in the face one day" - MRT144, Imran Siddiqui
'I'm fairly certain that a ban on me punching you in the face is not a "right" worth respecting." - loinburger
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
"Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
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