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Originally posted by Dauphin View PostYou are in a gameshow where you have a box. The box contains one of the following amounts:
$10
$50
$1,000
$5,000
$250,000
You can either open your box and collect the money, or "sell" the box.
What is the minimum amount you would accept for your box?
Originally posted by Dauphin View PostA principal thought in my mind when asking the question is how much the spread of possible results effects your choice. Is the mean a better quantifier, or the median, if so, when? e.g. if the median was higher than the mean, would you want a higher amount.
Say the options were:
$1
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
$10,000
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Originally posted by gribbler View Post$700012-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
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Yeah, a bit...but the question is how much lower are you prepared to go to avoid that risk. The average is a fine idea but if you are not prepared to take the risk then I may go lower...$5000Speaking of Erith:
"It's not twinned with anywhere, but it does have a suicide pact with Dagenham" - Linda Smith
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48.5k, as KH has done the work for me!Jon Miller: MikeH speaks the truth
Jon Miller: MikeH is a shockingly revolting dolt and a masturbatory urine-reeking sideshow freak whose word is as valuable as an aging cow paddy.
We've got both kinds
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Originally posted by MikeH View Post48.5k, as KH has done the work for me!12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
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Yes.
I don't really get this game. What's the most someone will offer me for the box? It doesn't matter what I'll sell it for if no-one would offer me that. Isn't it market pressures which determine what my offer will be and therefore what I can get for it?
My "I'll take that" would be somewhere between 40 and 50k I think.
An interesting thought on this is what happens if you turn it on it's head, what would you offer for one of those 5 boxes? I wouldn't offer 40k that I do have for a chance to win 250k but I probably would risk 40k that I don't currently have, but could earn guaranteed, for a chance of winning 250k.Jon Miller: MikeH speaks the truth
Jon Miller: MikeH is a shockingly revolting dolt and a masturbatory urine-reeking sideshow freak whose word is as valuable as an aging cow paddy.
We've got both kinds
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