This is a high risk, high reward option being pushed by Senate Republicans which would reward big mortgage underwriters. The idea is fairly simple. The government can borrow money at about 3.5% APR by selling T-bills and then reloan that money via fannie and freddie so that people can refinance their mortgages at a 30 year fixed set at 4% APR. Potentially this could save homeowners hundreds of dollars each month by lowering their interest rates and the financial institutions who are taking a big hit for writing risky homeloans would be able to get off the hook as the government essentially buys them out (the old loans get repaid with money from the new lower interest government backed loans).
The problems are numerous. What happens if housing prices continue to fall as virtually every economist believes they will? What do you do about the 25%-30% of US homeowners who are already upside down on their home loans? Do you loan them more then the houses are worth just so they can pay off banks who made risky bets? If prices keep falling then will more people default only now they'll default on the government instead of on private banks? This potentially could be very good or very bad so would you put your tax dollars on this bet?
The problems are numerous. What happens if housing prices continue to fall as virtually every economist believes they will? What do you do about the 25%-30% of US homeowners who are already upside down on their home loans? Do you loan them more then the houses are worth just so they can pay off banks who made risky bets? If prices keep falling then will more people default only now they'll default on the government instead of on private banks? This potentially could be very good or very bad so would you put your tax dollars on this bet?
Comment