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Bush-enomics or How to create stagflation.

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  • Bush-enomics or How to create stagflation.

    Us inflation has jumped up to 6.3% meaning it is far outpacing economic growth and Americans are becoming poorer. A combination of government deficit spending and high energy prices have combined to recreate the stagflation of the early Reagan years. Why do Republicans always screw the pooch?

    Wholesale Prices in 2007 Up 6.3 Percent
    Tuesday January 15, 9:26 am ET
    By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer
    Wholesale Prices Rise in 2007 by 6.3 Percent, Largest Amount in 26 Years

    WASHINGTON (AP) -- Wholesale inflation last year shot up by the largest amount in 26 years while retailers suffered their worst December shopping season in five years as mounting economic woes caused consumers to put away their wallets.

    The Labor Department reported that wholesale inflation was up 6.3 percent for all of 2007, reflecting a huge increase for the year in various types of energy costs ranging from gasoline to home heating oil.

    Meanwhile, retail sales fell by 0.4 percent in December, the worst showing in six months, the Commerce Department reported. Consumer confidence has plunged, reflecting the worsening housing slump and a lingering credit crisis.

    For inflation, the year ended on a more positive note, with wholesale prices falling by 0.1 percent in December. That reflected decreasing costs last month for gasoline and other energy products. It was a significant slowdown after prices had soared by 3.2 percent in November, which had been the biggest one-month increase in 34 years.

    The combination of rising inflation pressures and a weak economy represent a dilemma for the Federal Reserve over whether to cut rates to boost economic growth even at the risk of making inflation worse.

    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke last week sent a strong signal that the Fed is more worried at the moment about weak growth than inflation -- given a series of weaker-than-expected data in recent weeks. He is expected to give an economic outlook update on Thursday to the House Budget Committee.

    The economy skidded to a virtual standstill in the final three months of last year, raising fears the country could fall into a recession, unable to withstand the multiple blows from the prolonged downturn in housing, a severe credit crisis and soaring energy costs.

    Already, unemployment is rising. The jobless rate jumped to 5 percent in December, up from 4.7 percent in November. That was the biggest one-month surge in unemployment since October 2001 in the wake of the 2001 terrorist attacks.

    The various economic threats have sent consumer confidence plunging and pushed the economy to the top of voters' concerns. Political leaders have responded, with President Bush, Democrats in Congress and presidential candidates from both parties putting forward economic stimulus proposals.

    The 6.3 percent increase in the Producer Price Index, which measures cost pressures before they reach the consumer, followed a much more moderate 1.1 percent increase in 2006.

    It was the biggest annual price gain since a 6.3 percent rise in 1981, a year when the Federal Reserve was aggressively raising interest rates in a successful effort to combat a decade-long bout of stagflation, rising inflation in conjunction with weak economic growth.

    The big increase last year reflected the fact that energy prices rose by 18.4 percent after having declined by 2 percent in 2006. It was the biggest annual increase in energy costs at the wholesale level since they rose by 23.9 percent in 2005.

    However, core inflation, which excludes energy and food, was better behaved, rising by 2 percent last year, the same as in 2006. The Fed is closley watching core prices for any signs that the price pressures being seen in energy and food are starting to spread to other parts of the economy.

    For December, the 0.1 percent drop in overall prices reflected a 1.9 percent plunge in energy and a 1.3 percent rise in food costs. Outside of food and energy, core inflation posted a moderate 0.2 percent increase.
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    The Federal Reserve seems more concerned with avoiding a recession then with controlling inflation though, honestly, they really can't control inflation since Bush & the Republican party so over spent and under taxed that the dollar has been crashing down. There seems little the Congress can politically do right now since Bush blocks restoring a sane tax policy but budget cuts are impossible since no one will cut needed social programs or Bush's disastrously expensive foreign wars.
    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

  • #2
    To moderate the alarmism the rate of inflation on things other then food and energy has remained fairly low though the reality is Americans must also pay for food & energy. It's just a question of when higher energy costs will translate into higher prices. Companies can't continue taking the hit for ever and will have to pass costs on to consumers eventually.
    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

    Comment


    • #3
      Bush had nothing to do with all of the 3 causes in the article. And there is nothing anyone can really do about stagflation in the short run.
      I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
      - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

      Comment


      • #4
        The three big problems are rising energy costs, rising food costs, and the subprime mortgage crisis. I'd say current government policy or failures to correct known problems are exactly the cause. Did Bush move to increase CAFE standards until the Democrats took over Congress? Would higher CAFE standards and energy conservation standards have helped to reduce demand? An unqualified yes. Using corn to produce ethanol actually consumes more oil then it offsets yet Bush & the Republicans insist on tariffing the hell out of foreign sugar & foreign made ethanol. Would lowering those tariffs increase the supply of both ethanol and food? Another unqualified yes. Was the subprime loan crisis the direct result of Bush & Co refusing to take well documented and know needs for greater regulation and transparency in the lending markets? Yet another unqualified yes.

        This falls squarely into Bush's lap.
        Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Oerdin
          To moderate the alarmism the rate of inflation on things other then food and energy has remained fairly low though the reality is Americans must also pay for food & energy. It's just a question of when higher energy costs will translate into higher prices. Companies can't continue taking the hit for ever and will have to pass costs on to consumers eventually.
          They are making plenty of profit still I think. The problem is going to come from consumer demand and then from wages. That is if things get worse.
          I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
          - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

          Comment


          • #6
            Isn't this your 3rd thread today in the OT?
            “I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
            - John 13:34-35 (NRSV)

            Comment


            • #7
              Yes.
              I make no bones about my moral support for [terrorist] organizations. - chegitz guevara
              For those who aspire to live in a high cost, high tax, big government place, our nation and the world offers plenty of options. Vermont, Canada and Venezuela all offer you the opportunity to live in the socialist, big government paradise you long for. –Senator Rubio

              Comment


              • #8
                Three threads in one day
                "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Oerdin
                  The three big problems are rising energy costs, rising food costs, and the subprime mortgage crisis. I'd say current government policy or failures to correct known problems are exactly the cause. Did Bush move to increase CAFE standards until the Democrats took over Congress? Would higher CAFE standards and energy conservation standards have helped to reduce demand? An unqualified yes. Using corn to produce ethanol actually consumes more oil then it offsets yet Bush & the Republicans insist on tariffing the hell out of foreign sugar & foreign made ethanol. Would lowering those tariffs increase the supply of both ethanol and food? Another unqualified yes.
                  I agree with you on the policies, but saying that they caused higher energy prices is a big stretch. Energy prices are the result of global economics.
                  Was the subprime loan crisis the direct result of Bush & Co refusing to take well documented and know needs for greater regulation and transparency in the lending markets? Yet another unqualified yes.

                  This falls squarely into Bush's lap.
                  I don't know anyone who knew that the subprime loan crisis was coming. Not even experts. You can't blame some knuckledragger Texan for that.
                  I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
                  - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    The three big problems are rising energy costs, rising food costs, and the subprime mortgage crisis. I'd say current government policy or failures to correct known problems are exactly the cause. Did Bush move to increase CAFE standards until the Democrats took over Congress? Would higher CAFE standards and energy conservation standards have helped to reduce demand? An unqualified yes. Using corn to produce ethanol actually consumes more oil then it offsets yet Bush & the Republicans insist on tariffing the hell out of foreign sugar & foreign made ethanol. Would lowering those tariffs increase the supply of both ethanol and food? Another unqualified yes. Was the subprime loan crisis the direct result of Bush & Co refusing to take well documented and know needs for greater regulation and transparency in the lending markets? Yet another unqualified yes.
                    "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
                      Isn't this your 3rd thread today in the OT?
                      Yep... so I closed the one that was most likely to become a spam thread

                      No more new threads for you Oerdin
                      Keep on Civin'
                      RIP rah, Tony Bogey & Baron O

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Ming

                        No more new threads for you Oerdin
                        Ever?

                        Spec.
                        -Never argue with an idiot; He will bring you down to his level and beat you with experience.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Spec


                          Ever?

                          Spec.



                          Clearly stagflation is the result of the pizza making establishment. If 48" pizzas had been the norm over the last few years, we could have clearly avoided the subprime mess. If only we had known.....
                          "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            People buying more pizza than they need
                            "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              People lying about buying more pizza than they need

                              Spec.
                              -Never argue with an idiot; He will bring you down to his level and beat you with experience.

                              Comment

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