Why is China's population increasing if couples only have 1 child?

[germanos]

Re: Why is China's population increasing if couples only have 1 child?

Originally posted by Dis
Mathemiticians explain please.

Cloning. Have you ever looked at them?

[Heresson]

anyway, it is obvious, why should one be a mathematician to understand it?

[DaShi]

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/6631471.stm

China warns of population growth

Chinese couples are only meant to have one child
China's top family planning body has warned of a "population rebound" as couples flout one child policy rules.
The widening wealth gap could lead to a rise in birth rates, Zhang Weiqing, from the National Population and Family Planning Commission, told state media.

Newly rich couples can afford to pay fines to have more than one child, while rural couples are marrying earlier, he told Xinhua news agency.

China has about 1.3 billion people, 20% of the world's total.

It is keen to curb its population growth, and the controversial family planning policy, implemented in the late 1970s, is meant to limit urban couples to one child and rural families to two.

But rising incomes mean that some newly rich couples in urban areas can easily afford to break the rules and pay the resulting fines.

In fact, last month, a survey by the National Population and Family Planning Commission found that the number of rich people and celebrities having more than one child was on a rapid increase, and nearly 10% of people in this category had three children.

Rural trends

In the countryside, too, the rules are being flouted.

China's constitution says that men may marry at 22 and women at 20, with late marriages and later childbearing encouraged.

But according to Mr Zhang, "early marriages are still prevailing in some parts of the country, especially in rural areas, which goes against the family planning policy".

Part of the reason why rural families refuse to comply is because of the traditional preference for sons.

Experts say this preference has led to the under-reporting of female births, as well as abortion of female foetuses and female infanticide.

By the end of 2006, China's population stood at 1,314,480,000, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, with males accounting for 51.5% of the population.

[DinoDoc]

They're running low on females so expect a drop soonish.

[LordShiva]

They can import more from Vietnam.

[DinoDoc]

Not enough.

[Barnabas]

they can import from the philippines

[Sandman]

The 'China is running out of women' trope strikes me as exaggerated, especially the loopy predictions of social breakdown or warmongering because there's 20 million more males than there should be.

[Kidlicious]

Dis,

It's simple. People aren't dying fast enough. My response is slightly different than all the others.

Anyway, it's time for a threadjack. The world revolution is coming. W00t!

People spend different amounts as they age. People spend more money when they are raising families. Then their spending drops off. Here's some pictures.

[DinoDoc]

Originally posted by Sandman
The 'China is running out of women' trope strikes me as exaggerated,..

You base this on the fact you wish it to be exaggerated or is there something more substantive backing you up?

[lord of the mark]

" a survey by the National Population and Family Planning Commission found that the number of rich people and celebrities having more than one child was on a rapid increase, and nearly 10% of people in this category had three children. "

The "rich" who are what, 10% of the pop of China or less. Of that category, nearly 10% had 3 children. So thats about 1% of the couples in China who had 3 children. This is a trend worth noting?

[Sandman]

Originally posted by DinoDoc
You base this on the fact you wish it to be exaggerated or is there something more substantive backing you up?

The evidence presented is usually less than convincing, all mangled statistics and 'experts say...'.

[Lancer]

They expected an increase until 2025 or something like that. By then the pop will have aged enough that death rates will exceed birth rates...or something like that.

In '08 I'll be 50 freakin years old. In '28 I'll be 70 times around the sun. Sometime in all this I'll be doing my part for balancing the world pop stats, as will we all.

I hope they don't bury me next to a smoker. Can you imagine?

[Zkribbler]

Uh...considering where you'll be going next, you probably wouldn't even notice a little extra smoke.

[DaShi]

Originally posted by lord of the mark
" a survey by the National Population and Family Planning Commission found that the number of rich people and celebrities having more than one child was on a rapid increase, and nearly 10% of people in this category had three children. "

The "rich" who are what, 10% of the pop of China or less. Of that category, nearly 10% had 3 children. So thats about 1% of the couples in China who had 3 children. This is a trend worth noting?

China's rich aren't all celebrities or internet billionaires. They may top the richest, but there are plenty of people who are rich by Chinese standards and quite capable of paying the fine. Also, the article addresses that it is not the just the rich who are disobeying Chinese family planning laws.