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  • #91
    Originally posted by KrazyHorse


    Currency exchange rates. If country A have a trade surplus with country B then A will hold a surplus of B's currency. A isn't buying goods with the money, so either he's buying his own currency back or he's investing in B's economy. Either way, he drives down the value of B's currency relative to his own, making it harder to export goods and services to B...
    maybe the US trade deficit phenomena is a result of the unusual status of the Dollar in the worlds economy?

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    • #92
      Yes, partly.

      The US dollar is overvalued, and has been for a long time. But as we've started to see, the availability of another reserve currency is starting to allow the dollar to settle lower. What this means for US consumers, however, is that goods are going to get more expensive, while incomes lag.

      The US has paid for its past consumption by exporting dollars. Now future consumption is going to be squeezed by past excess.
      12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
      Stadtluft Macht Frei
      Killing it is the new killing it
      Ultima Ratio Regum

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      • #93
        Unfortunately for the US, the dollar is still not falling as quickly as it should. The real question is whether or not the correction is going to come as a shock or a gradual slide.

        Even if it's a gradual slide, there's still a lot of catching up to do.

        Current account balances of ~5-6% of GDP are fairly extreme...
        12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
        Stadtluft Macht Frei
        Killing it is the new killing it
        Ultima Ratio Regum

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        • #94
          war of 1812
          We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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          • #95
            Originally posted by Ted Striker
            war of 1812


            I don't see the connection either to the illegal timber tarriffs or to the trade deficit discussion

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            • #96
              n00b
              We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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              • #97
                Originally posted by Ted Striker
                war of 1812
                :froth:
                (\__/)
                (='.'=)
                (")_(") This is Bunny. Copy and paste bunny into your signature to help him gain world domination.

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                • #98



                  We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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                  • #99
                    Originally posted by Geronimo


                    I don't see the connection either to the illegal timber tarriffs or to the trade deficit discussion
                    clueless

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                    • Originally posted by Ted Striker
                      war of 1812
                      We won.
                      Tecumseh's Village, Home of Fine Civilization Scenarios

                      www.tecumseh.150m.com

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                      • God, it's almost Pavlovian!
                        Tecumseh's Village, Home of Fine Civilization Scenarios

                        www.tecumseh.150m.com

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