UR - we got VERY lucky with SARS. Here's a site.
Transmission of 20-50%, fatality rate of 9.6%. If we had not just squeaked by, that kills up to 300 million people (half of 9.6% roughly). Luckily, it's incubation period is just slow enough that it was stopped. If it had been one of those diseases that had a longer asymptotic transmission phase, it would have been the greatest pandemic of all time (because it would have been world wide). It actually may have been good for the world, but I would not appreciate the personal affects - it would very likely get some of my family, all three sisters and my brother work in health care.
You are right about malaria, the problem with people getting as scared about malaria is that it does not affect most of the world, and you are talking about countries that are sadly used to dealing with that kind of fatality rate. Same with diarrhea. Bluntly one of the world problems with population, predicted a long time ago, was that giving the benefits of modern medicine and food distribution to cultures that have not made the steady transition from pre-industrial to post-industrial (which includes not only the West but China also) fertility rates is a recipe for disaster. Sadly, they were right, and moronic anti-family planning rules, like those pushed by the Bush adminstration on the UN and other interenational aid groups, definitely don't help.
Transmission of 20-50%, fatality rate of 9.6%. If we had not just squeaked by, that kills up to 300 million people (half of 9.6% roughly). Luckily, it's incubation period is just slow enough that it was stopped. If it had been one of those diseases that had a longer asymptotic transmission phase, it would have been the greatest pandemic of all time (because it would have been world wide). It actually may have been good for the world, but I would not appreciate the personal affects - it would very likely get some of my family, all three sisters and my brother work in health care.
You are right about malaria, the problem with people getting as scared about malaria is that it does not affect most of the world, and you are talking about countries that are sadly used to dealing with that kind of fatality rate. Same with diarrhea. Bluntly one of the world problems with population, predicted a long time ago, was that giving the benefits of modern medicine and food distribution to cultures that have not made the steady transition from pre-industrial to post-industrial (which includes not only the West but China also) fertility rates is a recipe for disaster. Sadly, they were right, and moronic anti-family planning rules, like those pushed by the Bush adminstration on the UN and other interenational aid groups, definitely don't help.
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