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How Long Will Gulf War II Last?

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  • How Long Will Gulf War II Last?

    It looks like the war is going to start in the next week, so it's prognostication time. Please vote on how long the war will last, starting at the beginning of hostilities from air or ground and ending when the coalition no longer meets widespread resistence.

    Some items of note. The Kuwait border to Baghdad is some 300 miles/500 kilometers. The top speed of the M1 A2 main battle tank is 41.5 miles per hour. The top speed of the latest armored personnel carrier is also 41 miles per hour.

    Between Kuwait and Baghdad there is at least one river crossing, unless one were to come in from the West.
    89
    1 - 3 Days
    3.37%
    3
    4 - 6 Days
    6.74%
    6
    1 - 2 Weeks
    14.61%
    13
    2 Weeks - 1 Month
    22.47%
    20
    1 Month - 2 Months
    17.98%
    16
    More than 2 months
    29.21%
    26
    Hussein Will Take The Banana Option and Flee Or Be Removed From Power Pre-War
    5.62%
    5
    I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

  • #2
    Twomonths and the fighting is over.
    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

    Comment


    • #3
      It depends what do you mean. If you think raid to ruins of Baghdad then they could do it around month and half. If you think complete control of Iraq then it could be well over 2 months - look at Afghanistan.

      Then you should add that air pre bombing would be at least 3 days and NO US troop would risk to be at wrong place sooner than they would need.
      Most of heaviest fighting would be over in 2 weeks becouse after that US would be forced to be little carefull what to do with bombs. (bomb shortage could be nasty :nasty: ) Guerila warfare could be here well over 2 years. (if US would not repair damages on Iraq then it will last much longer)

      Comment


      • #4
        btw when the war starts, the tank crews will all remove the speed limiting peice of equipment in their tanks, resulting in an increase of speed (i think its like 10 - 20 miles faster)
        "Everything for the State, nothing against the State, nothing outside the State" - Benito Mussolini

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        • #5
          I predict a new attempt of Operation "Market Garden":

          Airborne troops assault strategic important locations such as oil fields and downtown Baghdad.

          Airpower assists the assault troops in defending against Iraqi counterattacks

          Ground forces race at top speed trying to linking up pockets of lightly armed airborne troops.

          If that works out well, we can add a new chapter in military strategy lectures.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Oerdin
            Twomonths and the fighting is over.
            This is hard to believe. This actually assumes there will be a fair fight.
            http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

            Comment


            • #7
              Getting to Baghdad and that other city (Saddam's power base) will be done in a matter of a couple of days.

              However there will be a few standoffs once coalition gets there. I'd say those sieges could last up to 2 weeks minimal.
              We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Lord Merciless
                I predict a new attempt of Operation "Market Garden":

                Airborne troops assault strategic important locations such as oil fields and downtown Baghdad.

                Airpower assists the assault troops in defending against Iraqi counterattacks

                Ground forces race at top speed trying to linking up pockets of lightly armed airborne troops.

                If that works out well, we can add a new chapter in military strategy lectures.
                Bold, very aggressive. Perfect!
                http://tools.wikimedia.de/~gmaxwell/jorbis/JOrbisPlayer.php?path=John+Williams+The+Imperial+M arch+from+The+Empire+Strikes+Back.ogg&wiki=en

                Comment


                • #9
                  I think it's important to win the war as quickly as possible. In addition to saving lives on both sides, this is a demonstration of our military's abilities. There is a very real geopolitical benefit to doing it lightening fast. Our power will be measured for perhaps decades on our success in the next couple of weeks.
                  I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Depends on what you mean by "winning". Defeating the Iraqi army will take less than two weeks. Rebuilding the nation will take a couple of decades. Somehow I have the feeling you won't be up to that task...
                    Within weeks they'll be re-opening the shipyards
                    And notifying the next of kin
                    Once again...

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      I thought I was pretty clear on what a win was--no widespread resistance. And peace is not war! Wait to criticize our post-war actions until after the war!
                      I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Airborne troops trying to capture bobytraped oil fields. Tanks runing at awsome real speed 10-38kph.

                        I hope there wouldn't be too much "smart" people like Clausewitz, with after war analysis.

                        well it could be interesting war and... (or should I say police action and...?)

                        Peace could be more bloody than war.
                        Last edited by raghar; March 15, 2003, 22:09.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Lord Merciless
                          I predict a new attempt of Operation "Market Garden":

                          Airborne troops assault strategic important locations such as oil fields and downtown Baghdad.

                          Airpower assists the assault troops in defending against Iraqi counterattacks

                          Ground forces race at top speed trying to linking up pockets of lightly armed airborne troops.

                          If that works out well, we can add a new chapter in military strategy lectures.
                          Pretty good analysis.
                          We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            The war is already busy... The bombardments are getting heavier each day.
                            Contraria sunt Complementa. -- Niels Bohr
                            Mods: SMAniaC (SMAC) & Planetfall (Civ4)

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              most of the country will be taken pretty quickly, but the sieges of Bagdhad, Saddam's home town, and maybe a few other mahir cities will take much longer.

                              I voted 1-2 months, tho most of this time will be a siege.

                              Kman
                              "I bet Ikarus eats his own spunk..."
                              - BLACKENED from America's Army: Operations
                              Kramerman - Creator and Author of The Epic Tale of Navalon in the Civ III Stories Forum

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