German elections prediction

[GePap]

The germans should be better at counting this one than us.

[Proteus_MST]

Originally posted by DinoDoc
When is the final count due?

Tomorrow I think.

However, those Percentages which are currently published don´t reflect the real Distribution of seats in the Bundestag.

The seats are distributed according to the percentage of Votes for the Parties, to Direct mandates and to surplus mandates.
Our election system is rather complex

For example PDS has only 4 % in the percentages published, so they shouldn´t get a seat in the Bundestag (only Parties with more than 5% get a seat), but they have 2 Direct mandates, so they get 2 seats in the Bundestag.

[Proteus_MST]

Estimated distribution of seats in the Bundestag inclusive surplus mandates (according to ARD, 21:45):

Coalition of SPD and Greens: 305 seats
Coalition of CDU and FDP: 298
PDS: 2 Seats

[MichaeltheGreat]

Originally posted by DinoDoc
Like Hitler, Schroeder know well how to stir up the rabble against a foreign threat.

After the Hitler remark flap, from what I saw it looked a bit like Stoiber was trying to work the "I'll be a bigger lackey of Bush and the US" angle into the election.

It should be interesting to see what happens next.

[DanS]

For some reason, I'm guessing this wouldn't play in Peioria. But seeing the Chancellor in Lederhosen would be priceless.

[Giancarlo]

Stobier is the one I am hoping that will get elected. One more socialist kicked out won't hurt. Schroeder is a mumbling idiot especially with his foreign policy... and his economic policies suck.

Either way if Schroeder wins his capacity to run his dumb policies will be severely crippled.

Anyways... those Germans certainly know how to drink... Hand that to them.

[Gangerolf]

who won?

[JtheJackal]

So is Shcoreder really wearing a wig?

[Proteus_MST]

Probably Old Government = New Government

Latest Results for the seats in the German Bundestag are:
SPD: 255 seats
CSU/CDU: 248 seats
Greens: 55 seats
FDP: 47 seats
PDS: 2 seats

So we´ve got a Majority of the seats for a coalition of SPD and Greens

But 7 out of 12 Ministers didn´t get reelected into the Bundestag, so the Coalition will have to appoint a lot of new Ministers.

I assume, Stoiber was far too unpopular to get elected.

[Boris Godunov]

Official word is that Schroeder has won.

Phew.

[Giancarlo]

****. How do you say that in German?

This is horrible... I was hoping that the euroconservatives could take over... it was needed to turn the German economy around. Now you Germans got Schroeder and his unrealistic promises.

Well the Euro Conservatives still won big in Germany. This is increasing the chances that next time the CSU/CDU will take over.

[Drake Tungsten]

Damn. I can't believe that Schroeder actually pulled it off. Just goes to show that Euros can be distracted from the real issues just as easily as Americans... (sigh)

[David Floyd]

Hmmm...I think on the whole, this is good...I definitely prefer Schroeder's foreign policies, especially regarding recent events, but as to domestic policies, I probably prefer Stoiber to a certain extent.

But right now, having someone in office in a powerful and important country who opposes US action in the Middle East is important, I think.

[Shi Huangdi]

Never thought you'd be one to cheer on a socialist gaining power, Dave.

[David Floyd]

Well, Stoiber, from a US point of view, isn't that much further to the right domestically than Schroeder, as near as I can tell.

And frankly, I'd probably prefer a Socialist to an ultra-conservative (not that Stoiber is one, of course).