Heads Up Eastern Seaboard -- Hurricane Frances

[The Mad Monk]

...is still 750 miles from the nearest land, but is already category three and strengthening.

This one could be a real bugger.



That should be a continually updating image, at this point it could run over cuba, it could hit Georgia, time will tell.

Washing down the Bahamas and Florida (again) seems most likely, though.

[Last Conformist]

hurricanes

[The Mad Monk]

Current advisory:

000
WTNT31 KNHC 282039
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2004

...FRANCES STRENGTHENS INTO THE SECOND CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE OF
THE 2004 ATLANTIC SEASON...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST OR ABOUT 690
MILES...1110 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN BACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FRANCES COULD REACH NEAR
CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.9 N... 52.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1%2Bshtml/251432.shtml?

[The Mad Monk]

You can compare the island chain in the projection to the one in the photo to see just how big this thing already is.

[:) Smiley]

Heads up Chegitz!

[Grandpa Troll]

We got something called Gaston just offshore:

TROPICAL STORM GASTON LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 553 PM EDT SAT AUG 28 2004
... GASTON PICKING UP STRENGTH AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD...

... AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA... BRUNSWICK... NEW HANOVER... PENDER... COLUMBUS... BLADEN AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA... GEORGETOWN... HORRY... WILLIAMSBURG... FLORENCE... MARION AND DILLON. THIS ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

... WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

... STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

GASTON IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB OR 29.42 INCHES.

... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVERY HOUSEHOLD SHOULD HAVE A PLAN OF ACTION WHEN HURRICANES OR TROPICAL STORMS THREATEN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE ONE... NOW IS THE TIME TO FORMULATE ONE. RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. STORE OR SECURE LAWN FURNITURE... BARBECUE GRILLS... GARBAGE CANS AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD TAKE ACTION NOW AND SECURE THEIR BOATS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

... WIND IMPACTS... IN SOUTH CAROLINA... WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING REACHING 40 TO 50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... SUNDAY AFTERNOON... LASTING INTO MONDAY MORNING. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR THE BEACHES AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS.

IN NORTH CAROLINA... WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY EVENING. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE COAST WITH TROPICAL STRENGTH WINDS EXTENDING WELL INLAND.

... STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET. HOWEVER... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ON SUNDAY EVENING... COMBINED WITH ONSHORE WIND DIRECTIONS AND POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF MODERATE AND POSSIBLY SEVERE COASTAL FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN THE CHERRY GROVE AND GARDEN CITY BEACH AREAS. FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN SOUTHERN GEORGETOWN COUNTY NEAR WINYAH BAY AND THE MOUTH OF THE SANTEE RIVERS WILL ALSO NEED TO BE MONITORED. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THE HIGHEST PREDICTED TIDES ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 800 AND 900 PM.

... SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... MAINLY IN GUSTS... AND INCREASED SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON THE NORTH CAROLINA WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS TO STAY IN PORT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY WITH POSSIBLE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON SUNDAY.

... FLOOD IMPACTS... SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN SPOTS DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE... WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING CONSIDERABLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. FLOODING IS LIKELY IN MANY AREAS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER... AND IN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN WILMINGTON.

... NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON BY 900 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

...


Next we may/may not have Frances

Im on the coast just north of Wilmington in Onslow County


Ahhh...surfs up

[red_jon]

I'm so glad I live in the Land of Boring Weather

[Grandpa Troll]

It is really nice here..EXCEPT every so many years like this one..then its more of a minefield

[The Mad Monk]

Zoomed-out satellite photo:

[Grandpa Troll]

Originally posted by Last Conformist
hurricanes

Unless your living in the path of the destruction

[red_jon]

Can't everyone on shore just blow really hard in the other direction to counter it?

[Grandpa Troll]

Originally posted by red_jon
Can't everyone on shore just blow really hard in the other direction to counter it?

This is the east coast not west coast (San Francisco)

umm..Y.M.C.A.

IN THE NAVY

ITS RAINING MEN

Point made

[Grandpa Troll]

now they are saying Gaston may be a minimal Hurricane now by the time it lands..

4-8 inches of rain..then of course depending in another week what Frances da talking mule doez..

[Odin]

That hurricane looks like it packs a wallop.

I have a bad feeling that this thing is going to smack right into Jacksonville as a Catagory 5. RUN, CHE, RUN!!!

[Grandpa Troll]

Originally posted by Odin
That hurricane looks like it packs a wallop.

I have a bad feeling that this thing is going to smack right into Jacksonville as a Catagory 5. RUN, CHE, RUN!!!

or maybe you had right city wrong state

JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA