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Economy adds 625,000 jobs in last 2 months

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  • Economy adds 625,000 jobs in last 2 months

    Good news. Now back to work!

    Jobless Rate Falls as Hiring Picks Up

    By Leigh Strope
    AP Labor Writer
    Friday, May 7, 2004; 10:03 AM

    Employers added 288,000 jobs to their payrolls in April as the nation's unemployment rate slipped to 5.6 percent, reinforcing hopes for a sustained turnaround in the jobs market that had lagged for so long.


    Payrolls have risen now for eight straight months, with 867,000 new jobs created so far this year, the Labor Department reported Friday. The strengthening jobs market comes just in time to aid President Bush's re-election efforts, which were in question a few months ago based on his economic record.

    "I'm officially declaring the jobless recovery dead," said Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics. "I think we are now on a path of what will be substantial job gains."

    Bush is on track to be the first president since the Great Depression to have lost jobs under his watch. But the hiring gains in recent months have shrunk those losses to about 1.5 million. His administration was widely criticized for an overly optimistic forecast that 2.6 million new jobs would be created this year. Economists now say the chugging economy could get close to that mark.

    "I don't think these two months of big increases are a flash in pan," Mayland said of April's job growth and the revised 337,000 new jobs in March.

    Despite the recent encouraging news on both jobs and economic growth, public support for Bush's handling of the economy was at 43 percent early this month, according to an Associated Press-Ipsos poll. That was the lowest number since Ipsos-Public Affairs began tracking that question in 2002.

    Bush on Friday was touring by bus two Midwestern states he narrowly lost during the 2000 election -- Iowa and Wisconsin -- carrying a message of job gains amid the economic upswing he contends has been sparked by lower taxes. Bush rode the bus through parts of Michigan and Ohio earlier in the week.

    Democrats said Bush shouldn't get a pass for Friday's positive economic news,

    "The job creation picture may finally be brightening, but wages are stagnating and gas prices are soaring, so we still have a long way to go before workers begin to feel the effects of this recovery," said Rep. Pete Stark of California, the top Democrat on the Joint Economic Committee.

    "We still have a jobs deficit and long-term unemployment made history last month by hovering at 20 percent for more than a year and a half. These are not the kind of records the President should be setting at this point in a recovery," he added.

    n the report, hiring was widespread last month, with the service sector leading the way. Professional and business services employment rose substantially, by 123,000. In that category, gains were in employment services, including temporary help firms, services to buildings and dwellings, management and technical consulting services and architectural and engineering services.


    The nation's struggling factories also appear to be turning around. Based on Labor Department revisions, the manufacturing sector added jobs for three straight months, including 21,000 in April. For the year, manufacturing payrolls are up by 27,000 overall.

    The unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage point to 5.6 percent last month, after reaching a high of 6.3 percent in June 2003 during the economic slowdown.

    Revisions to payrolls also showed a stronger jobs market than previously reported. Last month's 308,000 payroll gains were revised up to 337,000. April's showing surprised analysts, who had expected payrolls of about 180,000 to 200,000.

    The economy has rebounded strongly, but companies, under intense pressure to compete globally, have been holding down their costs by working employees harder instead of hiring new ones. That appears to be changing, though critics note that job gains are occurring in the lower-paying service sector at retailers and restaurants, and in temporary employment firms.

    The Federal Reserve decided Tuesday to hold a key interest rate at a 46-year low of 1 percent, saying said such low rates along with productivity gains are helping to support economic activity.

    But the strengthening jobs market leads economists to anticipate the first rate increases in more than four years will start this summer, probably in August, and will come in the form of one-quarter of a percentage point rises in the federal funds rate.

    Other gains in April occurred in retail at building and garden supply stores, general merchandise stores and motor vehicle and parts dealers. The leisure and hospitality sector also added jobs, especially in the category of food services. Hiring also continued to be strong in health care and social assistance for the month.
    Last edited by DanS; May 7, 2004, 10:39.
    I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

  • #2
    Hey, two months in a row. Maybe this is real.

    Now watch the Fed raise rates later this year and kill it.
    Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

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    • #3
      I don't know about the rest of the economy, but I just signed a $250,000 contract to deliver over a half-million directories in the Louisville, KY market.

      Comment


      • #4
        The economy couldn't grow at this pace for very long without creating inflation. Barring unforseen circumstances like a very large terrorist attack, the Fed will have to raise rates soon.

        But that's a situation you want to be in. Raising interest rates is a good sign.
        I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

        Comment


        • #5
          but I just signed a $250,000 contract to deliver over a half-million directories in the Louisville, KY
          Good show. Let the good times roll!
          I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by DanS
            But that's a situation you want to be in. Raising interest rates is a good sign.
            That's what they said in 2000. We're only just recovering from that. Raising rates means slowing job creation or cutting jobs because too many people employed puts pressure on bosses to raise our wages.
            Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

            Comment


            • #7
              Raising rates also gets us away from the situation (well, one of the situations) that had Japan in a slump in the nineties. There is a time value to money and there's no getting around that, despite what MITI might want.

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              • #8
                That's what they said in 2000. We're only just recovering from that.
                Well, there was a real bubble economy in 2000 that needed adjustment in the worst of ways. We don't have that now. [Cue Hershell]

                Besides, these interest rates are the lowest since 1958. This can't last forever.
                I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

                Comment


                • #9
                  GePap in 3...2...1....
                  "Just puttin on the foil" - Jeff Hanson

                  “In a democracy, I realize you don’t need to talk to the top leader to know how the country feels. When I go to a dictatorship, I only have to talk to one person and that’s the dictator, because he speaks for all the people.” - Jimmy Carter

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                  • #10
                    GePap's like a rain cloud for hire.
                    I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      I know we have to raise rates eventually. But do you really think they should be doing it so soon? The economy won't even be back to previous levels of employment until next year, that doesn't include population growth. I know the Fed is fixated on 5% unemployment being the magic number, but 4% was way cooler.
                      Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by chegitz guevara
                        Hey, two months in a row. Maybe this is real.

                        Now watch the Fed raise rates later this year and kill it.
                        The fed can't raise rates, they said they would this month, and did not.

                        If they do it will kill Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, several foreign governments,etc.

                        Of course Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are going down!

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                        • #13
                          Yes, don't raise interest rates. Then the CB will have to do the same here.
                          urgh.NSFW

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                          • #14
                            Good news for both the USA and Bush.

                            Now all he's gotta do is to pull back the troops from Vietnam, and the future of the US will look decent again.

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                            • #15
                              Hey, nice news, only about 135,000 less than would have normally been created during the laste 90's in the same period! At this rate, Bush will only have to answer for a million less jobs!
                              If you don't like reality, change it! me
                              "Oh no! I am bested!" Drake
                              "it is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong" Voltaire
                              "Patriotism is a pernecious, psychopathic form of idiocy" George Bernard Shaw

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