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Hypothetical scenario:
Let's say, for the sake of argument, Kerry takes all the states that went blue last time:
CL, CT, DC, DE, HI, IL, IA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, WI.
(And, apart from maybe New Mexico and Pennsylvania, I'd say that is all very likely.)
Let's say he takes New Hamshire--also very likely. That would bring his electoral college total to 264.
That would leave him 6 EC short of the Presidency.
But what if he got one more state: Nevada? (I'd estimate this is 50/50, or very very close to that.)
That would put him at 269--and, ladies and gentlemen, we would have a tie.
This is very very possible. (Could also happen if he wins Colorado but loses NH & NV--much less likely, but possible.)
Can you imagine the fallout this would have? The tiebreaker is that Congress decides--the House picks the Prez (one vote per state), and the Senate picks the Veep. Bush-Cheney would win.
There could very well be riots over this. Scary prospect.
Let's say, for the sake of argument, Kerry takes all the states that went blue last time:
CL, CT, DC, DE, HI, IL, IA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, WI.
(And, apart from maybe New Mexico and Pennsylvania, I'd say that is all very likely.)
Let's say he takes New Hamshire--also very likely. That would bring his electoral college total to 264.
That would leave him 6 EC short of the Presidency.
But what if he got one more state: Nevada? (I'd estimate this is 50/50, or very very close to that.)
That would put him at 269--and, ladies and gentlemen, we would have a tie.
This is very very possible. (Could also happen if he wins Colorado but loses NH & NV--much less likely, but possible.)
Can you imagine the fallout this would have? The tiebreaker is that Congress decides--the House picks the Prez (one vote per state), and the Senate picks the Veep. Bush-Cheney would win.
There could very well be riots over this. Scary prospect.
. Rioters will get beat down 
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