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Democratic Left wins in Colombia, Economic Referendum Fails

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  • Democratic Left wins in Colombia, Economic Referendum Fails

    New Bogota Mayor Says He'll Work for Poor

    By ANDREW SELSKY, Associated Press Writer

    BOGOTA, Colombia - Mayor-elect Luis Eduardo Garzon pledged Monday to work for Bogota's poor after becoming the first leftist to win the top office in Colombia's capital — a victory that represented a political setback for the violent campaign of Marxist guerrillas
    Not completely. People didn't so much vote against Uribe as they voted against the economical measures imposed by the IMF...who will, of course, do everything possible to pressure the government to get similar/worse things passed in other ways.

    Might also be interesting to note that Garzon himself describes his proposal as non-confrotational "center-left", even if he does intend to help remedy the grave social situation in Bogotá, he's not going to turn everything done by the past 2 local administrations upside down...that sure got him a lot of moderate votes too.

    Garzon, the former head of Colombia's biggest labor federation and an ex-communist, declared after his historic win Sunday that his first day in office — Jan. 2 — would be "a day without hunger," indicating a mass distribution of free food.

    The beefy 55-year-old, who eschews ties in favor of turtlenecks and sport jackets, said he would help the poor — about half of the capital's 7 million residents — but he did not intend to forget about the rich, or foment class divisions.

    "No one should fear this mayor," said Garzon, the son of a maid who once worked as a golf caddie, adding that he did not intend to pit "the rich against the poor."

    Leftists hailed the ascendance of Garzon, who is known as "Lucho," to the high-profile office as a new political era in Colombia, which has been torn by four decades of guerrilla warfare. The electoral victory represents an alternative to the violent struggle of the leftist rebels.

    The country's main rebel group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces in Colombia, known as the FARC, launched a political party in the 1980s called the Patriotic Union. But most of its leaders were assassinated by right-wing death squads, prompting the FARC to conclude that the only way for leftist radicals to gain power was through violent overthrow.
    Not exactly either..the FARC themselves didn't really contribute too directly nor too willingly to the UP, even before any of the massacres. If anything, other leftwing groups suffered much more from the rightwing reaction...yet several of their members still continued in the path of legality and got things done , even if at a small scale. Better that than blowing people up.

    Leftists gathered in Bogota's convention center to help Garzon celebrate his win.

    "I am 50 years old, and this is the first time that I am celebrating the victory of a candidate, because all the rest of them have been buried," said Carlos Rodriguez of the Colombian Commission of Jurists, a human rights group.

    "This shows convincingly that the path of peaceful change is possible," Antonio Navarro Wolff, a senator who was a leader of the M-19 guerrilla group, which disarmed in 1990.
    Which, in fact, also suffered much more from the massacres committed at the time, as I was just saying...Yet Navarro himself admits that he did much more for the people as mayor of Pasto than in all his years in the M-19.

    The left also scored an important victory in the southern Valle province with the election of another veteran of the workers' struggle, Angelino Garzon, to the governor's office.

    There was no immediate comment from the FARC.
    Not surprising.

    "The FARC will have to receive this triumph as a warning alert, because the political projects that favor social causes have a space in democracy," said Arturo Alape, an expert on the rebel movement and author of a biography on its founder and leader, Manuel "Sureshot" Marulanda.

    Most of the assassinations of the 30 candidates during this year's election across Colombia were allegedly carried out by the FARC , which tried to undermine hard-line President Alvaro Uribe's contention that he was exerting state control across this Andean nation.[b]
    Didn't really succeed in doing that though, despite the fact that they declared ALL candidates "military objectives, as usual"...another reason to explain why they are quiet.

    The rebels' right-wing paramilitary foes are also suspected of having killed at least two candidates and intimidating others.
    Can't let this pass either...troublesome bastards (and no, I don't agree with their proposed pardon, unless it was part of a larger process, which it isn't...too soon to tell what will happen on this front though)

    Uribe, who resoundingly beat Garzon in the 2002 presidential elections, met with Garzon in the presidential palace late Sunday and said his victory helped strengthen Colombia's democracy.
    But no, he's a fascist undemocratic paramilitary that absolutely hates every leftist democrat's guts and is going to have him executed along with everyone else who voted for him...

    Won't deny he's authoritarian though, that's evident.

    In Sunday's elections, Colombians also voted for state and municipal leaders across the country.

    In other closely watched races, Hugo Aguilar, a former policeman who killed drug kingpin Pablo Escobar in a rooftop shootout in Medellin in 1993, won the race for governor of the central Colombian province of Santander, pledging to root out corruption and fight terrorism.

    One of the election's biggest upsets came in Medellin's mayoral race, where the right-wing pre-election favorite lost to an independent with no political experience who was popular with indigenous groups.
    Link

    About the Referendum which was mostly defeated Saturday, though the final results will determine whether some questions are valid or not....

    Referendum failure deals blow to Uribe

    With ballots counted from almost 98 per cent of polling stations, one key question, which asked whether state pensions and public sector salaries should be frozen, required fewer than 90,000 "Yes" votes to win approval. But by midday on Monday, all 15 points posited in the referendum had failed to attract the necessary 6.3m votes, or 25 per cent of the electorate.

    The referendum's poor voter turnout represents a notable political defeat for Alvaro Uribe, Colombia's president, who had personally promoted the ballot as a make-or-break plebiscite backing his right-leaning policies.
    True, but the Referendum was defeated by a very thin margin as most questions got between 24.9 and 22%, and all got a "YES" vote of at least 80%-90%, showing that basically all the ~5.8 million people that voted for Uribe in his election campaign still fully support him.

    And as said before, a couple of questions may still likely pass...

    ...

    Analysts said the damage may be more symbolic at the political level, but would echo most immediately on the economic front.

    ...

    Mr Uribe had hoped the referendum would give him a firm mandate to slash government spending, by introducing measures such as a two-year freeze on public sector wages and a cap on state pensions.

    "The situation also does not look good from the perspective of failing to secure much-needed income and fiscal savings going forward," Mr de la Fuente added.

    Colombia has targeted a fiscal deficit of 2.8 per cent of gross domestic product in 2003, and 2.5 per cent next year, but this assumed approval of the spending cuts.

    A mission from the International Monetary Fund (news - web sites) is due to visit Colombia at the end of the week.
    ...and is NOT going to be happy. Nope.

    Mauricio Cárdenas, director of Fedesarrollo, a Bogotá-based think-tank, said that if the wage freeze was not approved, the government would likely have to pay retroactively wages frozen earlier this year in anticipation of the referendum. A retroactive pay-out would lead the fiscal deficit this year to jump from 2.8 per cent of GDP (news - web sites) to about 4 per cent, according to Mr Cárdenas.

    Meanwhile, economists say that an inevitable tax reform package, likely to be announced this week by the government, will include an increase in value added tax to 10 per cent from the current 7 per cent.

    Other measures could entail decrees freezing spending in certain areas, as well as the issue of compulsory-purchase "war bonds" in the domestic market.

    A spokesman for Alberto Carrasquilla, Colombia's finance minister, said no decision on alternative measures would be taken until the final result of the referendum was known.
    Link

    A two-fold victory for democracy indeed, but a possible financial crisis too...Anyways, that's my 2 cents, for the 0.5 people interested.
    DULCE BELLUM INEXPERTIS

  • #2
    It is a fact, that Uribe has been successful in bringing the country out of recession and has waged a successful war against the FARC and ELN.

    Also I heard the turn out was very low for the election in Bogota and it might of been rigged.
    For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Fez
      It is a fact, that Uribe has been successful in bringing the country out of recession
      Maybe, but the setback caused by the defeat of the economic measures is certainly not a good sign for believers in neoliberal economics.

      and has waged a successful war against the FARC and ELN.
      Arguable.

      Some successes are evident, but I would not be as optimistic (nor as pessimistic as others are, for that matter)...the FARC has received blows but is very far from even a structural defeat (and that might not even be possible by military action alone).

      They seem to be bidding their time, "enduring the storm until it passes", if you will.

      Also I heard the turn out was very low for the election in Bogota and it might of been rigged.
      Not really...since the turn out for the Sunday elections was only a bit higher. In other areas it certainly was much lower.

      Still, those measures are unpopular, and even many people who sympathize with Uribe on security issues are not blind enough to vote for them (though that probably won't matter in the long run).
      DULCE BELLUM INEXPERTIS

      Comment


      • #4
        Well I just hope the best for Colombia... I visited the country on numerous occasions.

        And yes, I know not to be too optimistic... based on my experiences in Colombia. Optimism is hard to have.
        For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

        Comment


        • #5
          Yeah....

          Anyways, in other news, the ELN has just recently (via the mediators from the Church) announced that they may gradually free all 7 foreign hostages in their possession (some israelis, a spanish basque, a german, etc.).
          DULCE BELLUM INEXPERTIS

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          • #6
            I'll wait to see how successful an elected Left is in Colombia, since the country has a history of slaughtering elected leftists.
            Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

            Comment


            • #7
              Elected leftists in Latin America usually means crappy results. Believe me I seen it before.
              For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

              Comment


              • #8
                Which is completely irrelevent.
                Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

                Comment


                • #9
                  Actually totally relevant. Colombia is in Latin America.. and the socialists/commies are all the same in Latin America... very corrupt. Well... to that note all politicans there are basically corrupt.
                  For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    It is not relevent to the point that "the country has a history of slaughtering elected leftists." If you want us to behave like civlized people, you can't be killing us. If you go around trying to kill us, we shall try and kill you back.
                    Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Almost every latin american country has a history of that. Civilized? THIS IS FEZ YOU ARE TALKING TO!

                      Allende was killed... did your corrupt kind try to kill Pinochet? Perhaps... but failed. You will always fail.
                      For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by chegitz guevara
                        I'll wait to see how successful an elected Left is in Colombia, since the country has a history of slaughtering elected leftists.
                        Yeah. Want to start a betting pool for how many months he lasts before he gets assassinated?
                        Stop Quoting Ben

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