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I'm 45. Will Social Security still be around when I'm ready to collect?

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  • #46


    And yes, it'll be around. They'll be some creative accounting and people will get their money somehow. But yes, we should raise the retirement age. I'm definetly doing some private investing for retirement funds though, because I'll easily be able to earn more than I'll be getting in SS.
    “I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
    - John 13:34-35 (NRSV)

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    • #47
      [aside]

      Do note that in the above quoted SSA passage, they freely and openly admit that it is an entitlement program, and not insurance, pension, etc.

      [/aside]

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      • #48
        Oh, and Imran is totally correct - because it isn't in a lockbox and headed towards certain, definite disaster, Congress does have the flexibility needed to amend the law, thereby preserving the program in response to differing situations, especially demographics.

        Had Congress put it in a "lockbox" back in 1935, it is guaranteed that the Act would not survive the baby boomers, and might not be alive today.

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        • #49
          So the most obvious answer to this folks is to move the retimement age to 70 years, and keep it moving back as the general life expenctency increases. ohter enttlements, like medicare and Medicaid and food stamps can help shift many of the every day costs older workers have.

          SS in some reformed form will most certainly remain: purey private retiremenmt accounts won;t cut it. First, gievn the relative negative savings rate of the US, seeing a huge surge in savings is unlikely, and to make this different from what existed before 1935 (heck, people could always save for retirement...it didn;t work any better before 1935) the goevrnment would still have to offer some sort of matching funds, so it would remain a large gov. spediture.

          The basic probems is simple: people are living much longer while they are NOT increasing their productive years significantly. Even if the retirement age went to 70, how many people will be working full time when 70? Millions and millions of more jobs would have to be created for both teenagers and the elderly to gain employment and keep it. Only when people not only live longer but can count on more productive old age will thi simple byprodcut of modern medical and hygenic science be solved.
          If you don't like reality, change it! me
          "Oh no! I am bested!" Drake
          "it is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong" Voltaire
          "Patriotism is a pernecious, psychopathic form of idiocy" George Bernard Shaw

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          • #50
            Originally posted by JohnT
            The fact is, demographically SS is a massive transfer payment from minorities (especially male minorities) to white females. How the Left can justify such a racist result is beyond me - or maybe they just don't care.
            Who says we justify the result? The solution is to try and figure out why Black men are dying so much sooner than white men, and then do something to fix it. The Republicans tried to make an issue of this in the Black community, but the dog didn't hunt.

            I wonder how much of Black men's early death rate comes from crime and a substantial number of Black men not making it past their twenties (in which case they haven't put much into the system anyway).
            Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

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            • #51
              I hope that it won't still be around. Nothing against any of you 40 somethings or anything. I just don't wanna have to give you money.
              "You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran

              Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005

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              • #52
                Damn Johnson. Damn him!

                It was Johnson that started the whole SS mess, yes?
                Long time member @ Apolyton
                Civilization player since the dawn of time

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                • #53
                  No, johnson did zip about SS. FDR begun the program, and it is in trouble due to simple dmeographics..damn all those doctors for getting the life expenctancy up.
                  If you don't like reality, change it! me
                  "Oh no! I am bested!" Drake
                  "it is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong" Voltaire
                  "Patriotism is a pernecious, psychopathic form of idiocy" George Bernard Shaw

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                  • #54
                    Well, damn Johnson all the same.
                    Long time member @ Apolyton
                    Civilization player since the dawn of time

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                    • #55
                      Transfer

                      You have to realize that the largest group in the left are white females.
                      “It is no use trying to 'see through' first principles. If you see through everything, then everything is transparent. But a wholly transparent world is an invisible world. To 'see through' all things is the same as not to see.”

                      ― C.S. Lewis, The Abolition of Man

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                      • #56
                        JohnT, actually I was aware you can't actually sue the government to get your money back - I was being a bit of a smartass.

                        The whole thing seems to violate the concept of implied contracts, though, doesn't it?
                        Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/DaveDaDouche
                        Read my seldom updated blog where I talk to myself: http://davedadouche.blogspot.com/

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                        • #57
                          I'm so glad I don't have to pay payroll taxes for a couple years. At least some of my earnings won't be wasted on a doomed program.
                          KH FOR OWNER!
                          ASHER FOR CEO!!
                          GUYNEMER FOR OT MOD!!!

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                          • #58
                            Originally posted by Lancer
                            "Naw, they'll just keep raising the retirement age until you're dead."

                            Sloww, they have to give something...right?
                            No, they don't.

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                            • #59
                              you might get it. odds are i won't.

                              count your blessings, old man.
                              B♭3

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                              • #60
                                From the above-mentioned Nestor decision. I apologize for the all-caps.

                                THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM MAY BE ACCURATELY DESCRIBED AS A FORM OF SOCIAL INSURANCE, ENACTED PURSUANT TO CONGRESS' POWER TO "SPEND MONEY IN AID OF THE 'GENERAL WELFARE,'" HELVERING V. DAVIS, SUPRA, AT 640, WHEREBY PERSONS GAINFULLY EMPLOYED, AND THOSE WHO EMPLOY THEM, ARE TAXED TO PERMIT THE PAYMENT OF BENEFITS TO THE RETIRED AND DISABLED, AND THEIR DEPENDENTS. PLAINLY THE EXPECTATION IS THAT MANY MEMBERS OF
                                THE PRESENT PRODUCTIVE WORK FORCE WILL IN TURN BECOME BENEFICIARIES RATHER THAN SUPPORTERS OF THE PROGRAM. BUT EACH WORKER'S BENEFITS, THOUGH FLOWING FROM THE CONTRIBUTIONS HE MADE TO THE NATIONAL ECONOMY WHILE ACTIVELY EMPLOYED, ARE NOT DEPENDENT ON THE DEGREE TO WHICH HE WAS CALLED UPON TO SUPPORT THE SYSTEM BY TAXATION. IT IS APPARENT THAT THE NONCONTRACTUAL INTEREST OF AN EMPLOYEE COVERED BY THE ACT CANNOT BE SOUNDLY ANALOGIZED TO THAT OF THE HOLDER OF AN ANNUITY, WHOSE RIGHT TO BENEFITS IS BOTTOMED ON HIS CONTRACTUAL PREMIUM PAYMENTS.

                                IT IS HARDLY PROFITABLE TO ENGAGE IN CONCEPTUALIZATIONS REGARDING "EARNED RIGHTS" AND GRATUITIES." CF. LYNCH V. UNITED STATES, 292 U.S. 571, 576-577. THE "RIGHT" TO SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS IS IN ONE SENSE "EARNED," FOR THE ENTIRE SCHEME RESTS ON THE LEGISLATIVE JUDGMENT THAT THOSE WHO IN THEIR PRODUCTIVE YEARS WERE FUNCTIONING MEMBERS OF THE ECONOMY MAY JUSTLY CALL UPON THAT ECONOMY, IN THEIR LATER YEARS, FOR
                                PROTECTION FROM "THE RIGORS OF THE POOR HOUSE AS WELL AS FROM THE HAUNTING FEAR THAT SUCH A LOT AWAITS THEM WHEN JOURNEY'S END IS NEAR."
                                HELVERING V. DAVIS, SUPRA, AT 641. BUT THE PRACTICAL EFFECTUATION OF THAT JUDGMENT HAS OF NECESSITY CALLED FORTH A HIGHLY COMPLEX AND
                                INTERRELATED STATUTORY STRUCTURE. INTEGRATED TREATMENT OF THE MANIFOLD SPECIFIC PROBLEMS PRESENTED BY THE SOCIAL SECURITY PROGRAM DEMANDS MORE THAN A GENERALIZATION. THAT PROGRAM WAS DESIGNED TO FUNCTION INTO THE
                                INDEFINITE FUTURE, AND ITS SPECIFIC PROVISIONS REST ON PREDICTIONS AS TO EXPECTED ECONOMIC CONDITIONS WHICH MUST INEVITABLY PROVE LESS THAN WHOLLY ACCURATE, AND ON JUDGMENTS AND PREFERENCES AS TO THE PROPER ALLOCATION OF THE NATION'S RESOURCES WHICH EVOLVING ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONDITIONS WILL OF NECESSITY IN SOME DEGREE MODIFY.

                                TO ENGRAFT UPON THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM A CONCEPT OF "ACCRUED PROPERTY RIGHTS" WOULD DEPRIVE IT OF THE FLEXIBILITY AND BOLDNESS IN
                                ADJUSTMENT TO EVER-CHANGING CONDITIONS WHICH IT DEMANDS. SEE WOLLENBERG, VESTED RIGHTS IN SOCIAL-SECURITY BENEFITS, 37 ORE. L. REV.
                                299, 359. IT WAS DOUBTLESS OUT OF AN AWARENESS OF THE NEED FOR SUCH FLEXIBILITY THAT CONGRESS INCLUDED IN THE ORIGINAL ACT, AND HAS SINCE
                                RETAINED, A CLAUSE EXPRESSLY RESERVING TO IT "THE RIGHT TO ALTER, AMEND, OR REPEAL ANY PROVISION" OF THE ACT. SEC. 1104, 49 STAT. 648, 42 U.S.C. SEC. 1304. THAT PROVISION MAKES EXPRESS WHAT IS IMPLICIT IN THE INSTITUTIONAL NEEDS OF THE PROGRAM. SEE ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIAL
                                SECURITY SYSTEM, HEARINGS BEFORE A SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS, HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, 83D CONG., 1ST SESS., PP. 920
                                921. IT WAS PURSUANT TO THAT PROVISION THAT SEC. 202(N) WAS ENACTED.

                                WE MUST CONCLUDE THAT A PERSON COVERED BY THE ACT HAS NOT SUCH A RIGHT IN BENEFIT PAYMENTS AS WOULD MAKE EVERY DEFEASANCE OF "ACCRUED"
                                INTERESTS VIOLATIVE OF THE DUE PROCESS CLAUSE OF THE FIFTH AMENDMENT
                                .


                                Does some lawyer-type want to explain the boldened section? Sounds to me that what they are saying is that the idea of a "lockbox" (or "property rights") to SS funds is, according to the USSC, unconstitutional because it violates the due process clause of the 5th Amendment.

                                How so?

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