"there is a chance for a new leader?"
Like?
Like?
If Arafat wouldn't be meddling around, Abu Mazen would be a good leader.
"while he's alive, NO new leader will arise. Nada."
And when he's dead there is no leader for a long time.
And when he's dead there is no leader for a long time.
Not necessarily. Nobody really is certain that there will be imminent civil war.
And if there is, at least they will sort out what they want, instead of attacking Israelis all the freaking time.
I personally think that once Arafat is out, the Fatah will hold some kind of elections, in which either Abu Mazen or Abu Alla will win.
"I bet their army is wrecking havoc in Iraq right now."
So why is the south relatively quiet for now?
So why is the south relatively quiet for now?
huh?
Why would they be active in the south? Iran and Iraq border in the noth east...
And I'm pretty sure that a good portion of the terracts in Iraq, are supported or comitted by Iran or Iranian supported elements.
"The Syrians are baathists. So they are of course helping thier "brotherin"."
Feuding brothers, there's been a split in Baath, has there not. Also the Syrian Baath party is a vehicle of the Alawis, so I wonder how well they get along with the Iraqi Sunnis.
Feuding brothers, there's been a split in Baath, has there not. Also the Syrian Baath party is a vehicle of the Alawis, so I wonder how well they get along with the Iraqi Sunnis.
A split in ideology has never stopped arab nations from forming alliances against bigger powers.
This flawed western perceptions, that all arab nations are mortal enemies, is a projection of western values of ideology, on eastern culture.
The Syrians, Iraqis and Iranians would sooner put their differences aside, fight a war against a common enemy (the US, Israel), and when they are done, they will return to fight among themselves.
In any case, the allawis and sunnis have no major issues.
And in any case, the Baathist ideology, is in both cases, a non-religious one. While both may "use" Islamic cultural relics, the Islam has never been a part of their ideology.
Baathism is national socialism. It has been affected by western ideas of nationalism, fascism and communism.
If there's any western model for baath, it would be Stalin's Soviet Union, which was very nationalistic, and "Russian" in core.
Also why would they need encouragement? And how much aid could the Syrians provide without being caught?
They could provide quite a lot. From funds, to places of hiding, to training operatives.
That's all pretty much speculation. If there was anything substantial, we would have Israel and the Neocons firing on all propaganda cylinders with that.
Israel and the neocons already did that.
But they have also made a (wise IMO) decision to step down on the "propoganda", because intelligence is always a check you can't cover.
If the neocons and Israel would have continued making agressive remarks towards Iran and Syria, there would be even more criticism drawn towards the US.
Comment