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Originally posted by Arrian
Not gonna happen. They will not agree to verification proceedures
Then they don't really want a nonagression treaty. I don't think that is an unreasonable demand considering the boon they are asking for.
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The South probably would beat the North. But not before the North did a ton of damage to the South.
And then, once the South had won, it would face the cost of rebuilding/integrating the North.
Accordingly, faced with the possibility of a nasty, destructive war, SK chose the "Sunshine Policy." I personally think it's appeasement and a huge mistake, but I can understand why they chose it.
The South and the Chinese could probably reach a deal, something along the lines of China not interfering, and the South agreeing to remove American bases. Longer term, it would be of great benefit to China to get rid of an embarassing parasite, and gain a reasonably dynamic trading partner.
China doesn't have much problem with North Korea nowadays. Unfortunately, South Korea is too weak-willed to assert its interests with regard to North Korea with the Chinese.
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
Originally posted by DanS
China doesn't have much problem with North Korea nowadays. Unfortunately, South Korea is too weak-willed to assert its interests with regard to North Korea with the Chinese.
Maybe becuase it is their capital and the lives of milions of their citizens that lie down the barrel of 10,000 NK artillery pieces?
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SK could demand that China put pressure on NK to stand down along the border. But it hasn't. Why?
SK does a lot more business with China than does NK.
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
Originally posted by DanS
SK could demand that China put pressure on NK to stand down along the border. But it hasn't. Why?
SK does a lot more business with China than does NK.
They don't demand because:
1. They can't/won't/would have a really tough time enforce such a demand.
2. The status quo is acceptable and they feels security that if things go to ****, someone else will bail them out.
3. They prefer not to have economic issues from reuninion with the North.
4. They beleive that a pure policy of talk and engagement is more beneficial than direct, enforced negotiation. They beleive in "process".
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