Originally posted by IthacaMike
No, he is close to right. The swordsman could win the first two rounds and then lose three in a row (3/4*3/4*1/4*1/4*1/4) or the swordsman could lose win one and then lose the next three, or...
I just ran a sim and it looks like the defending archer should win about 1 time in 10 (swordsman won 90.8% of the time in my sim).
No, he is close to right. The swordsman could win the first two rounds and then lose three in a row (3/4*3/4*1/4*1/4*1/4) or the swordsman could lose win one and then lose the next three, or...
I just ran a sim and it looks like the defending archer should win about 1 time in 10 (swordsman won 90.8% of the time in my sim).
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