I just experienced something similar. Tokugawa attacked me when he was pleased, but he lacked oil and I had oil at a city on the border right next to him. I guess it was just too big of a temptation and his army was double the size of mine so I had no chance.
I then reloaded the game and traded an oil resource to him, and sure enough he has not attacked me, atleast not yet.
I then reloaded the game and traded an oil resource to him, and sure enough he has not attacked me, atleast not yet.
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