The relations modifier is affected by the game level. Red is up to -100 (fued), green is up to +100 (harmony). Add 60% in favor if you voted for them the last time (good idea if they can not win and you have bad relations with the other). Add 20 if candidate controls Orion. Add 20 if Human (remember I said I do not like Humans for this reason). Add 12.5 when considering you at Simple, 10 at Easy, 7.5 Average, 5 at Hard and 2.5 at impossible. So as you can see the level of the game is not much of a factor for the coin toss in the vote. It does not even come into play if they voted for you the last time or are an ally or they are at war with one candidate.
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