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Well, after the Tigers lost 11 of their last 13, I thought, just for the heck of it, I'd check the Vegas odds to win the World Series. Hoping that everyone would over react to the Tigers peril, I was looking for something like 80-1.
Well I was way off base. Not only do I find the movement in the Tigers odds amazing but there are a few others I can't believe. Below are some teams, 1st column is opening odds, 2nd column is current odds.
Tigers 12-1 10-1 (Gamblers are impressed with their play so far?)
Kansas City 150-1 200-1 (Gamblers are upset they swept the Tigers twice and are only 1.5 out of 1st?)
Florida 70-1 100-1 (Gamblers are upset that they are only tied for 1st?)
Minnesota 30-1 60-1 (1/2 game out of first in the central doubles the odds against them?)
I'm not commenting on what the odds should be. I am just commenting on the counter-intuitive movement of the odds for these teams only.
I would post a link but the odds change daily so the link would be obsolete. Below I have cut and pasted all the odds as of this moment 5:30 am 11/17/08).
Future Book Odds
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Open Current
Boston Red Sox 5/2 11/5
Los Angeles Angels 4/1 3/1
New York Yankees 3/1 7/2
Detroit Tigers 6/1 5/1
Cleveland Indians 7/2 11/2
Toronto Blue Jays 10/1 12/1
Chicago White Sox 28/1 16/1
Seattle Mariners 14/1 22/1
Oakland Athletics 30/1 30/1
Minnesota Twins 15/1 30/1
Tampa Bay Rays 75/1 35/1
Texas Rangers 50/1 100/1
Kansas City Royals 75/1 100/1
Baltimore Orioles 60/1 100/1
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Open Current
Arizona Diamondbacks 12/1 3/1
Chicago Cubs 9/2 13/4
New York Mets 4/1 4/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 10/1 11/2
Philadelphia Phillies 6/1 8/1
St. Louis Cardinals 10/1 10/1
Milwaukee Brewers 8/1 12/1
Atlanta Braves 6/1 14/1
Houston Astros 18/1 22/1
San Diego Padres 10/1 30/1
Cincinnati Reds 25/1 30/1
Colorado Rockies 8/1 30/1
Florida Marlins 33/1 50/1
San Francisco Giants 40/1 75/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 60/1 75/1
Washington Nationals 60/1 100/1
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 WORLD SERIES
Team Open Current
Boston Red Sox 9/2 9/2
Arizona Diamondbacks 25/1 6/1
Los Angeles Angels 8/1 6/1
Chicago Cubs 10/1 13/2
New York Yankees 11/2 7/1
New York Mets 8/1 8/1
Detroit Tigers 12/1 10/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 22/1 12/1
Cleveland Indians 7/1 12/1
Philadelphia Phillies 14/1 18/1
St. Louis Cardinals 22/1 22/1
Toronto Blue Jays 20/1 25/1
Milwaukee Brewers 18/1 25/1
Atlanta Braves 14/1 30/1
Chicago White Sox 55/1 35/1
Seattle Mariners 28/1 45/1
Houston Astros 40/1 50/1
Minnesota Twins 30/1 60/1
Cincinnati Reds 55/1 60/1
Colorado Rockies 18/1 60/1
San Diego Padres 22/1 60/1
Oakland Athletics 60/1 75/1
Tampa Bay Rays 150/1 75/1
Florida Marlins 70/1 100/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 150/1 150/1
San Francisco Giants 85/1 150/1
Texas Rangers 100/1 200/1
Washington Nationals 150/1 200/1
Kansas City Royals 150/1 200/1
Baltimore Orioles 125/1
Well I was way off base. Not only do I find the movement in the Tigers odds amazing but there are a few others I can't believe. Below are some teams, 1st column is opening odds, 2nd column is current odds.
Tigers 12-1 10-1 (Gamblers are impressed with their play so far?)
Kansas City 150-1 200-1 (Gamblers are upset they swept the Tigers twice and are only 1.5 out of 1st?)
Florida 70-1 100-1 (Gamblers are upset that they are only tied for 1st?)
Minnesota 30-1 60-1 (1/2 game out of first in the central doubles the odds against them?)
I'm not commenting on what the odds should be. I am just commenting on the counter-intuitive movement of the odds for these teams only.
I would post a link but the odds change daily so the link would be obsolete. Below I have cut and pasted all the odds as of this moment 5:30 am 11/17/08).
Future Book Odds
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Open Current
Boston Red Sox 5/2 11/5
Los Angeles Angels 4/1 3/1
New York Yankees 3/1 7/2
Detroit Tigers 6/1 5/1
Cleveland Indians 7/2 11/2
Toronto Blue Jays 10/1 12/1
Chicago White Sox 28/1 16/1
Seattle Mariners 14/1 22/1
Oakland Athletics 30/1 30/1
Minnesota Twins 15/1 30/1
Tampa Bay Rays 75/1 35/1
Texas Rangers 50/1 100/1
Kansas City Royals 75/1 100/1
Baltimore Orioles 60/1 100/1
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Open Current
Arizona Diamondbacks 12/1 3/1
Chicago Cubs 9/2 13/4
New York Mets 4/1 4/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 10/1 11/2
Philadelphia Phillies 6/1 8/1
St. Louis Cardinals 10/1 10/1
Milwaukee Brewers 8/1 12/1
Atlanta Braves 6/1 14/1
Houston Astros 18/1 22/1
San Diego Padres 10/1 30/1
Cincinnati Reds 25/1 30/1
Colorado Rockies 8/1 30/1
Florida Marlins 33/1 50/1
San Francisco Giants 40/1 75/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 60/1 75/1
Washington Nationals 60/1 100/1
ODDS TO WIN THE 2008 WORLD SERIES
Team Open Current
Boston Red Sox 9/2 9/2
Arizona Diamondbacks 25/1 6/1
Los Angeles Angels 8/1 6/1
Chicago Cubs 10/1 13/2
New York Yankees 11/2 7/1
New York Mets 8/1 8/1
Detroit Tigers 12/1 10/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 22/1 12/1
Cleveland Indians 7/1 12/1
Philadelphia Phillies 14/1 18/1
St. Louis Cardinals 22/1 22/1
Toronto Blue Jays 20/1 25/1
Milwaukee Brewers 18/1 25/1
Atlanta Braves 14/1 30/1
Chicago White Sox 55/1 35/1
Seattle Mariners 28/1 45/1
Houston Astros 40/1 50/1
Minnesota Twins 30/1 60/1
Cincinnati Reds 55/1 60/1
Colorado Rockies 18/1 60/1
San Diego Padres 22/1 60/1
Oakland Athletics 60/1 75/1
Tampa Bay Rays 150/1 75/1
Florida Marlins 70/1 100/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 150/1 150/1
San Francisco Giants 85/1 150/1
Texas Rangers 100/1 200/1
Washington Nationals 150/1 200/1
Kansas City Royals 150/1 200/1
Baltimore Orioles 125/1
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