Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The Legend of Sleepy Hollow

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • The Legend of Sleepy Hollow

    Everyone has elections, so we want one too! But, as the article explains, it doesn't really feel like it, which can be either understood as a blessing (in light of the ...uh...drama elsewhere). Or as some form of ignorance (because all is not perfect in Hermania, too).

    https://www.economist.com/news/europ...ction-campaign

    Germany’s election campaign ignores the country’s deeper challenges

    All is not as dreamy as Angela Merkel’s coast to victory makes it seem


    THESE are political times. American democracy produces more drama in a week than it used to in a year. In France the forces of globalism and nationalism are locked in combat. In Britain nation-changing votes have become annual events. Brenda, a Bristol pensioner interviewed by the BBC in April, spoke for millions on learning of the early general election: “You’re jokin’! There’s too much politics going on!”

    Germany is different. It goes to the polls on September 24th, but of politics red in tooth and claw there is little evidence. It is a country calm and comfortable, closer in spirit to Brenda than to Wagner. Angela Merkel’s centre-right Christian Democrats (CDU) are coasting to victory on an inoffensive manifesto offering something for everyone. Martin Schulz, her Social Democratic (SPD) rival, has a tough choice: be confrontational and risk losing voters to Mrs Merkel’s big tent, or echo her soothing overtures, leaving voters with little reason to pick him over her.

    At the moment Mr Schulz seems to be combining the worst of both options. His bids to draw the chancellor into combat, for example by claiming that Germany is ill-prepared for future refugee crises, make him look panicky while underlining her Zen-like confidence. At the same time both parties’ posters and slogans are determinedly bland. The CDU calls “for a Germany in which we live well and happily”. The SPD proclaims that “the future needs new ideas and someone to implement them”. The Green party and the liberal FDP have been a bit more stimulating, but a Schlafwahlkampf, or “sleep election campaign”, looms.

    In a sense, this is to Germany’s credit. With the exception of the chaotic nationalists in the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, German politicians and journalists are less prone to emotionalising politics and manufacturing conflict than those in other countries. Mrs Merkel is a consummate difference-splitter who for eight of her 12 years as chancellor has governed comfortably with the SPD. With some minor differences of emphasis, she and Mr Schulz share the same worldview: internationalist, business-friendly and social democratic. The country is stable and prosperous, a land of whirring factories, sleek trains and bustling lakeside beer gardens. If it ain’t broke, why fix it?

    But that would be a mistake. In the long term, Germany faces enormous challenges, ones which will force its leaders to make difficult and divisive choices. “The next three or four years will be the most demanding since reunification,” predicts Timo Lochocki of the German Marshall Fund of the United States.

    Take geopolitics. Germany may be largely happy with the structure of the European Union, but others are not. France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, wants to deepen the integration of the euro zone in ways that Germans see as reaching into their pockets. America is insisting that German defence spending rise from 1.2% to 2% of GDP. German citizens, meanwhile, seem hesitant even to endorse their existing military obligations, such as their deployment in Lithuania. In May just 40% told the Pew Research Centre that they would back using military force to defend a NATO ally in a serious conflict with Russia.

    Economic shifts will also be wrenching. The mighty German car industry is plagued by cartelism. It will pay a high price for its ill-advised gamble on diesel engines and it faces further disruption from the dash towards electrification and self-driving vehicles. The country’s low investment rate and high energy costs have hurt its rankings on digital and infrastructural competitiveness. That trend is compounded by a conservative attitude to certain kinds of new technologies. Germans are even more hostile than the French to a free-trade treaty with America and to big-data giants like Google. In another backwards-looking move, Mrs Merkel’s government decided to cut the retirement age. All told, says Stephan Richter, a pundit, Germany’s “anaesthetic” political class has not used the country’s golden decade to equip it for the future: “past performance is no indication of future success.”

    The fabric of German society is also in flux. The work of integrating the 1.2m refugees who arrived during 2015 and 2016 is still at an early stage. Yet the country is not really debating how it should go about the job. The left avoids the subject, while the right proposes simply to stamp a traditional German identity on the newcomers. Few people are hashing out a more realistic vision for a hybrid, melting-pot form of Germanness. Meanwhile, as German society has grown more fluid and international, it has become harder to police. Recent terror attacks in Berlin and Hamburg, both committed by migrants who should have been deported but slipped through gaps in the system, have exposed serious security failings. That poses urgent questions in a country that is, for historical reasons, neuralgic about state surveillance.

    The election season proper will not begin until late August. But current signs—party manifestos, early rallies and anodyne television interviews with politicians—suggest that Germany’s sleepy campaign will leave most of these big issues unattended.

    To find this worrying is not to belittle the success and stability of Germany today. But the dramas of 2015, including the rise of the AfD, show that deep political insecurities lie below the surface, and that anger can erupt quickly. “The 1,000 most influential people in [Berlin] know there’s a tough time ahead; they need to communicate that to voters,” argues Mr Lochocki. Christian Ude, a former SPD mayor of Munich, goes further, warning in a new book that the “flight from politics” by the mainstream abandons terrain to the political extremes.

    With much of the world riven by political strife, it may sound odd to plead for more of it in one of the few countries that has remained placid. But Mr Ude is right. That Germany is doing well is not a reason to avoid a little discord. Quite the opposite: it is a window in which to embrace it constructively.

    I think the article describes it overall quite well. To some extent it might be normal that ppl care less about politics when they think things go by and large ok.

    And yet there is also a specific brand of politicians (from whatever side of the pol.spectrum) which rather like to avoid touchy subjects and rather declare universal harmony and happiness Which is kinda cool if that would solve stuff, but unfortunately it doesn't.

    Now wether this is something specifc to Germany I don't know.



    (I guess this will be the moast popular thrade ever, long walls of text dealing with Kraut politics).


    Blah

  • #2
    If you had to guess, what would you say is the issue most likely to wake Germany from its political sleepiness?
    Click here if you're having trouble sleeping.
    "We confess our little faults to persuade people that we have no large ones." - François de La Rochefoucauld

    Comment


    • #3
      Germany does indeed have deep issues which are getting ignored because low interest rates and easy money has been papering over things. Virtually none of the migeants are employable nor will they be even a half decade from now. A fairly large percentage are illiterate even in their native language and Germany just doesn't produce the types of low skill jobs for people like that especially whwn so many of them are practically barbarians with criminal instincts. Hell, the vast majority of them aren't even refugees but simple economic migrants hoping to get around the legal immigration system by lying and pretending to be refugees.

      Then there is the break down of the rule of law with the two faced blessing of the political class. Courts deny false refugee claims but less than 8% of those ordered deported by the courts actually ever do get deported. It is just disgusting lawlessness with the blessing of crap "leaders" like Merkel who say they will fix this problem but really hasn't nor will she ever.
      Much of German industry really is a cozy cartel, coddled and protected by EU tariffs, while the EU itself remains as undemocratic and broken as ever. About half the states ignore which ever rules they feel like while arrogant **** stains like Junckers run around pretending they are Imperial overlords. Hell, these idiots are obsessed with foolishly trying to ounish the UK for daring to tell them no when it was Merkel and Junckers fault that the Brexit vote went the way it did because they arrogantly refused to negotiate when problems were obvious for all to see.

      You guys are going to sleep walk right off a cliff then wonder how it happened.
      Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Dinner View Post
        ...so many of them are practically barbarians with criminal instincts.
        This is racist and inappropriate.
        Click here if you're having trouble sleeping.
        "We confess our little faults to persuade people that we have no large ones." - François de La Rochefoucauld

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Lorizael View Post

          This is racist and inappropriate.
          No, they are not. 1) It is not based upon race. 2) It is absolutely true that the migrants massively disproportionately commit crimes. You are falsely crying "racism" simply because someone is speaking a truth you dislike and that is cowardly.
          Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

          Comment


          • #6
            If you think a particular group of people mostly defined by their place of origin are "barbarians" and have "criminal instincts," you are racist. If you want to argue that's not technically a "race" thing, I am not interested. Your attitude is clearly bigoted and problematic.
            Click here if you're having trouble sleeping.
            "We confess our little faults to persuade people that we have no large ones." - François de La Rochefoucauld

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Dinner View Post

              2) It is absolutely true that the migrants massively disproportionately commit crimes. You are falsely crying "racism" simply because someone is speaking a truth you dislike and that is cowardly.
              Whether it's disproportional or not I don't know. But if we want to be precise with "racism" let's be precise with other terms too. Those who comitted crimes would be first and foremost "criminal", and not "barbarian", because the latter is a value judgement, not a statement of fact.

              And unless you are saying that the large majority of immigrants is criminal (for which I see no evidence) there's no reason to use the broad brush. The vast number never gets into the news because - for example - of the 6- or 7- digit numbers arriving in Germany in 2015/16 year only a few are driving trucks into ppl or somesuch. Usual "crime" is certainly more common than "terror" related stuff, but there's no reason to paint a hysteric doom and gloom picture.

              Also, domestic security/police/etc stuff is certainly one issue that has *not* been ignored post 2015 (one could debate whether it had been before), neither in the public debate last year, nor in the actual consequences - increase in police, or further security stuff is all planned and agreed across (most) party lines and will happen in the next years to roll back some of the cuts in police etc numbers done before 2015 mostly for budget reasons.













              Blah

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Lorizael View Post
                If you had to guess, what would you say is the issue most likely to wake Germany from its political sleepiness?
                If we would still or again get these large numbers of refugees every year it would flare up political divisions, with all its ugly sideeffects. Thing is, something like a general "breakdown of the law" as Dinner wrote is simply not happenening. The Cologne sexual assaults that made headlines worldwide were 2015/16 - this did not happen again, and whatever immigration related-crime there is, to pretend that Cologne-style things are happnening now everywhere and regularly is just plain wrong, and sounds more like the "last night in Sweden" craze.

                What I see way more as a problem related to immigration is long term. If what we call "integration" (mostly education/job entry for most etc.) fails (see France/banlieues) we could get more social problems over time, including crime. And getting to that kind of "integration" will certainly be more difficult with very high numbers arrivng per year, because jobs, education stuff etc. for so many ppl coming in a relatively short timeframe simply does not come into being overnight.

                But that is something my crystal ball hasn't shown me yet
                Last edited by BeBMan; August 15, 2017, 14:22.
                Blah

                Comment

                Working...
                X