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Trump leads by only 6 points in Texas

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  • #31
    LA Times strangely continues to be an outlier among the polls.



    Check out the NBC/SM Poll. That one had over 15,000 respondents. Now that's a massive poll. The sampling error is 1.2%, which is extremely low for polling. This gives the poll significant credibility. Trump may hate NBC, but he can't argue with the sample on that one! The massive poll previously gave Clinton an +8% and more recently a +10%, so that shows it is consistent and within the range of the sampling error.

    That gives Clinton a +9% lead over Trump (50%-41%).

    The notable thing is most polls, asides from the obvious outlier, have said Clinton has a 5-9% lead, and has now maintained that. It looks like she has built in the advantage, but yes there is time left.

    BTW, though not too significant she has actually increased her lead in Reuters and Economist polling by several percent as compared to the previous polls done in with those two.

    Not narrowing. Maintaining.

    Edit: Also if you look at the graph, her lead has been consistently around 5-7% on average since Trump's collapse. In addition, she has maintained her average at around 47%, while his bounces between the upper 30s to lower 40s.
    Last edited by Giancarlo; August 20, 2016, 14:47.
    For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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    • #32
      Originally posted by Ben Kenobi View Post
      Trump is a terrible nominee.



      Actually, I'm predicting a 14 point win for Hillary, which would flip Texas.


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      • #33
        What a necromancer
        12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
        Stadtluft Macht Frei
        Killing it is the new killing it
        Ultima Ratio Regum

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        • #34
          Eeeeeek! Zombie thread!
          I am not delusional! Now if you'll excuse me, i'm gonna go dance with the purple wombat who's playing show-tunes in my coffee cup!
          Rules are like Egg's. They're fun when thrown out the window!
          Difference is irrelevant when dosage is higher than recommended!

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          • #35
            Not sure if it was one of you guys that linked the article, but I read that California is now exporting blue voters as well to other states like Texas, and changing the demographic.

            Don't be surprised if we see the Senate flip blue also.

            It would be nice if we had 4 parties total:

            1) GOP leech party (Mitch McConnell prototypes)
            2) GOP old school big business but still honorable type (McCain, Dole, Kemp, Romney)
            3) Democrat big business boot lickers (Hillary)
            4) Democrat new generation (AOC)

            We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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            • #36
              AOC is a Pelosi boot licker

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              • -Jrabbit
                -Jrabbit commented
                Editing a comment
                The entire GOP are Trump bootlickers. What's your point?

            • #37
              Please explain what specifically you don't like about Pelosi! No cheating and going to Google.

              You don't like her because OMG Pelosi

              And AOC is on a totally different side of the spectrum from Pelosi.

              Also, Speaker Pelosi is trying to put Trump in check but not getting much help, and is also trying to make sure Americans can all vote by mail in November, even though Trump is trying to suppress it.
              We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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              • #38
                She passed a crappy stimulus that mostly goes to bailing out corporations while they continue to lay off their employees and throw them off their health insurance.

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                • Ted Striker
                  Ted Striker commented
                  Editing a comment
                  2009 all over again

              • #39
                Your opinion is one of the few that actually put some thought into it.

                Scarily enough, the "before" stimulus was way worse.

                Agree with you on all counts about the corporate bailouts with zero protection for workers or their health.
                We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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