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  • #16
    if the oceans warm a bit, would that end or significantly reduce La Ninas? I've heard the difference between the two is 1-2 C so what if the E Pac warms that much? Or is this cycle driven by more than just a couple degree difference in water temps?

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    • #17
      The sea surface temperature cools by up to 2 degrees C for La Nina, likewise warms similarly for El Nino, so 4 degree difference between the 2 extremes. The sub surface temerature can vary by up to 5 degrees each way, so 10 degrees between extremes there. However I am not sure whether those temperature variations are calculated from a fixed 'normal' ocean temperature or a variable ocean temperature that is adjusted for general increase in warmth of oceans due to global warming if it exists. But the definition of a La Nina or El Nino depends on a number of factors I think, temperature of oceans being one, also strength of trade winds, SOI (Southern Oscillation Index), Cloudiness around the dateline among others are all accessed.

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      • #18
        The drop in climate change hysteria since the greenies had their balls cut off in Copenhagen has been beautiful.
        "I have never killed a man, but I have read many obituaries with great pleasure." - Clarence Darrow
        "I didn't attend the funeral, but I sent a nice letter saying I approved of it." - Mark Twain

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        • #19
          Potentially interesting study...

          Cosmic rays linked to rapid mid-latitude cloud changes

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