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12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
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Originally posted by KrazyHorse View PostThe cynic's take is correct, but if people behaved at all rationally what would fall would be trading volumes, not prices...One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.
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Postulating a fundamental change in the way people trade equities invalidates an empirical relationship between levels and volumes12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
Comment
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Originally posted by KrazyHorse View PostThe cynic's take is correct, but if people behaved at all rationally what would fall would be trading volumes, not prices...Socrates: "Good is That at which all things aim, If one knows what the good is, one will always do what is good." Brian: "Romanes eunt domus"
GW 2013: "and juistin bieber is gay with me and we have 10 kids we live in u.s.a in the white house with obama"
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Originally posted by OneFootInTheGrave View Postif people behaved rationally there would be no booms and no busts...12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
Comment
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An inability to divine the future price path of assets is precisely what demonstrates that markets are rational.12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
Comment
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'struth12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
Comment
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future driven by greed and fear <> rational
rational > low risk > no outright fraud > stable market > non-humanSocrates: "Good is That at which all things aim, If one knows what the good is, one will always do what is good." Brian: "Romanes eunt domus"
GW 2013: "and juistin bieber is gay with me and we have 10 kids we live in u.s.a in the white house with obama"
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Is that supposed to be coherent?
Fear and greed are perfectly rational.
Greed is what drives people to take risks, fear is what reins them in.12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
Comment
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I also have no idea why you are conflating "rational" with "taking few risks"
It appears to me as though you think you know better than other people what their risk preferences should be.12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
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Irrationality is cognition, thinking, talking or acting without inclusion of rationality. The term is used, usually pejoratively, to describe thinking and actions that are, or appear to be, less useful or more illogical than other more rational alternatives
if people behaved at all rationally what would fall would be trading volumes, not prices...
not only would the trading volumes fall with "rational" price levels staying, the risks and prices would be a lot more in line with the known performance of the participants the market = stability = utopia.Socrates: "Good is That at which all things aim, If one knows what the good is, one will always do what is good." Brian: "Romanes eunt domus"
GW 2013: "and juistin bieber is gay with me and we have 10 kids we live in u.s.a in the white house with obama"
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Yeah, I repeat:
Is that supposed to be coherent?12-17-10 Mohamed Bouazizi NEVER FORGET
Stadtluft Macht Frei
Killing it is the new killing it
Ultima Ratio Regum
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Two things to consider.
First, senators are smart people. They're not chasing the latest fad or buying stock on tips from their imbecile cousins. They get sound advice from other smart people, and they know how to apply that advice sensibly.
Second, they are more likely to be aware of government actions that would influence the economy than the general public. The conclusion on page 16 points out, "Current law does not prohibit Senators from trading stock on the basis of information acquired in the course of performing their normal Senatorial functions." This isn't necessarily "nonpublic" information. It could just be that they are more interested and informed about publicly known Government affairs than the typical stockholder. Or at least, that's what I hope.John Brown did nothing wrong.
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