Announcement

**Drake Tungsten** · October 29, 2009, 22:45

Silver has become more and more disappointing since his excellent performance during the election.

**Asher** · October 29, 2009, 22:52

What's more interesting: probability & statistics, or US politics?

Answer: BOTH OF THEM TOGETHER.

**Drake Tungsten** · October 29, 2009, 22:55

Answer: BOTH OF THEM TOGETHER.

**Imran Siddiqui** · October 30, 2009, 10:41

He's become more and more of a hack. It is very sad.

**Kuciwalker** · October 30, 2009, 11:13

Uh... no? Do you even know what I'm *****ing about?

**KrazyHorse** · October 30, 2009, 11:23

I'm assuming it's the trials factor he's neglected in presenting his significance

**Kuciwalker** · October 30, 2009, 11:27

I didn't even think about it that far before I stopped paying attention.

i.e. about a 98 percent chance that it isn't the result of chance alone

**KrazyHorse** · October 30, 2009, 11:29

That's just an awkward phrasing of a statement about likelihoods given equal priors

**Kuciwalker** · October 30, 2009, 11:33

That, or a blatant example of the prosecutor's fallacy.

**KrazyHorse** · October 30, 2009, 11:33

a posteriori statistics are always a bit silly if you think about them too hard, but not including the fact that there are dozens of races and you've found a single 2% outlier is actually pretty damning

**Krill** · October 30, 2009, 13:22

Originally posted by Asher View Post

Answer: BOTH OF THEM TOGETHER.

What should you do with 2 drunk teenage cheerleaders?

**Wezil** · October 30, 2009, 13:57

Originally posted by Krill View Post

What should you do with 2 drunk teenage cheerleaders?

Is this a trick question?

Announcement

wasn't nate silver supposed to have a quantitative background?

wasn't nate silver supposed to have a quantitative background?

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