Trying to predict exactly how the bulk of humanity would behave under any given circumstances is an order of magnitude more difficult than predicting the weather. I just hold to my personal beliefs:
1. If I had to choose between being either moral or rational, I'd choose the former;
2. It's not rational to be unswervingly moral without some supernatural component;
3. Non-absolute morality (e.g. do not steal unless the potential reward vastly outweighs the potential punishment) is rational but not what most (including I) would call truly moral behavior;
4. There is no objective evidence for or against the supernatural;
5. There is no particular reason why there would be objective evidence for the supernatural;
6. (half of Pascal's Wager) atheism, even if 100% correct, is not personally beneficial;
7. While the thought of being right is immensely satisfactory, the fact that this desire is not connected to personal benefit is itself irrational, so screw it;
Conclusion: Might as well believe.
From there to my particular set of beliefs is more complicated, and not the subject of the present thread, so we'll leave it out.
1. If I had to choose between being either moral or rational, I'd choose the former;
2. It's not rational to be unswervingly moral without some supernatural component;
3. Non-absolute morality (e.g. do not steal unless the potential reward vastly outweighs the potential punishment) is rational but not what most (including I) would call truly moral behavior;
4. There is no objective evidence for or against the supernatural;
5. There is no particular reason why there would be objective evidence for the supernatural;
6. (half of Pascal's Wager) atheism, even if 100% correct, is not personally beneficial;
7. While the thought of being right is immensely satisfactory, the fact that this desire is not connected to personal benefit is itself irrational, so screw it;
Conclusion: Might as well believe.
From there to my particular set of beliefs is more complicated, and not the subject of the present thread, so we'll leave it out.
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