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  • Brazil wants to become the bread basket for the world.

    And they just might do it. The reality is they could, theoretically, increase the amount of farm land in the country by 600% though this would mean destroying a whole lot of tropical rain forest. Never the less the country's productivity on existing farm land is growing by leaps and bounds though it is still well below the productivity of 1st world countries. The reality is even if Brazil just modernizes it's existing farming techniques there will be huge increases in output but the country is also expanding the amount of farm land (and destroying rain forest) at large and increasing rates. The reality is we may very well see Brazil become the next US or Canada when it comes to food production for the world.

    Brazil's farms see quiet revolution

    By Gary Duffy
    BBC News, Sao Paulo

    On the family farm run by Joao Baggio Neto in the southern Brazilian state of Parana, you get some sense of the determination and competitive spirit that motivates Brazil's farmers.

    Blessed with what often seems like endless amounts of land and a good climate, Brazil has grown in recent years to become an agricultural superpower.

    Joao Baggio says the most important improvement in his part of the country in the past decade has been the increase in productivity.

    "We came from a situation where we produced 5,000 kg of corn by hectare, while today it is 10 to 12,000 kg per hectare of corn," he says. "So we have doubled productivity in 10 years."

    So it is no surprise that the government launched its latest agricultural plan in the state of Parana, famous for its grain-producing potential.

    President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva told farmers that concerns about food prices and shortages around the world offered them an exceptional opportunity.

    "We have more Chinese people eating, we have more Indians eating, we have more Africans eating and we have a lot more Brazilians eating.

    "All this, which is treated by the press as if it were a crisis and is sold to the world as if it were a crisis," he said.

    "Without any arrogance or self-importance, we Brazilians need to confront what for others is a crisis, as an extraordinary opportunity to truly transform ourselves into the granary of the world, as many people have long predicted."

    Huge potential

    Joao Baggio is not a fan of government policy, but he does not disagree with the president's aspiration.

    "Without any doubt, there is potential to produce if the government doesn't get in the way," he says.

    "We are not even going to say help - if they don't get in the way a lot, year by year the producer is generally increasing production.

    "If you talk about central Brazil, there are still a lot of areas to be exploited, so I don't have much doubt."

    In fact, of the 350 million hectares of land available for agriculture across Brazil, analysts say only 70 to 80 million hectares are being used, and the potential for growth is enormous.

    But there is also a consensus that the country has to deal with some key weaknesses, such as poor infrastructure - mainly in its ports and roads - and a high level of dependence on expensive imported fertilisers.

    But for Professor Marcos Fava Neves of the University of Sao Paulo, the president is right to think on a grand scale, based on the country's recent achievements.

    "What we have seen in the last 10 years is a quiet revolution happening in our country, mostly in agribusiness production," he says.

    "We came from being an irrelevant international market participant to be one of the world's major food and biofuel suppliers today.

    "So if you look at what happened to our agriculture in terms of beef exports, poultry exports - again we were irrelevant, and now we have the position of largest exporter in the world in major food crops."

    Booming harvests

    It is no surprise, then, that there that there was a confident opening for the annual gathering of Brazil's major agricultural producers in Sao Paulo.

    The video presentation boasted of a record harvest - while the prediction for this year is that external sales of agricultural products could amount to $74bn, an increase of 26% on last year.

    Outside the conference hall, the main point of discussion was a new report suggesting climate change could cause a significant drop in Brazil's food exports - perhaps as much as a quarter for soya over the next 12 years.

    However, Agriculture Minister Reinhold Stephanes was adamant this concern over climate change could be addressed.

    "The impact will start to emerge with more intensity within 20 to 30 years, and until then, we should be preparing for this," he said.

    "The perspective for the moment for future harvests is highly productive. So Brazil has the potential to continue growing around 5% to 6% a year in terms of increasing harvests. We are going to effectively maintain this rhythm in the coming years without any problem."

    Brazil's major producers also insist they can achieve growth in a sustainable way, even though activities such as cattle-ranching have been widely blamed for deforestation in the Amazon.

    Investment drive

    Watching the conference proceedings was Paulo Adario, campaigns director for Greenpeace, who says Brazil must meet its ambitions while protecting the environment at the same time.

    "Greenpeace is not against food," he told the BBC. "We are not against expanding the Brazilian capacity for producing food, and helping Brazil to develop this country.

    "You can increase the food capacity through technology, through better practices, through occupying areas that are already degraded, to investing in better crops.

    Brazil is already the world's biggest producer of orange juice

    "But you can not increase your productivity at the expense of the environment, because the global market doesn't accept this price any more."

    Prof Neves says even by staying away from sensitive areas such as the Amazon, a huge amount can be achieved.

    "If we have the right investments coming on for logistics, for infrastructure and for technology and land development, the country can multiply by two-and-a-half, three times the actual production in the next 10 years."

    Prof Neves sees Brazil as being well placed to help bring worldwide food inflation down by increasing its productivity.

    "Of course we have increases that could come from Europe, from the USA, from Canada, from Argentina," he says.

    "But where you see the best conditions in order to give the world society the best rate of return in terms of investment is in Brazil.

    "If you talk about the next five years, we are now producing 130 million tonnes of grains. We can easily go to 250 million tonnes.

    "We are now producing seven million hectares of sugar cane. This can go to 20 million hectares, helping to supply ethanol to the world. We are only exporting $400m of fruits; we can go to $3bn of fruits."

    Rising demand

    It is not only in Brazil that Prof Neves sees potential.

    "Next up is Africa. I think for Africa, this could be a redemption, in terms of inclusion of people in production systems and making Africa produce food and biofuels for the world."

    Not so long ago, the Brazilian government's major social policy was the battle to ensure Zero Hunger among its own people. Yet now, its president says his country can be the food basket of the world.

    A major family income support programme reaching 11 million of Brazil's least well off families undoubtedly helped, but recent research suggests rising prices are affecting some important basic food products.

    In one city in the north-east of the country, Brazil's poorest region, an officially-monitored basic selection of food items has gone up by 50% over the last 12 months.

    And given the scale of demand across the world, critics point out it is too much to expect Brazil to become its granary.

    "World demand for food today is one billion tonnes, and Brazil produces 150 million tonnes," columnist Ariosto Teixeira of the Estado de Sao Paulo newspaper told Brazil's TV Globo.

    "Brazil produces 150 million tonnes and the plan launched by the government for more food will produce six million more, which is going to leave one million for export. How is Brazil going to be the granary of food production?" he asked.

    Despite this, Brazil undoubtedly exudes the sense of a country growing in confidence over its place as an agricultural producer, even allowing for the latest failure to reach agreement in world trade talks.

    And along with other developing countries, the government remains optimistic that when it comes to the world's concerns over food, Brazil can make a difference.
    Story from BBC NEWS:
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    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

  • #2
    The problem is, of course, that rainforests are the lungs of the planet. Chop down the rainforest and global climate change gets much worse much faster.

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    • #3
      Furthermore, productivity on land cleared from rain forest is awesome the first couple years, then declines massively and becomes completely marginal land.
      Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

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      • #4
        if they clear the jungles will we still reap the +1 trade from bananas?
        :-p

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        • #5
          Yeah, I was going to say, I thought that rainforest land didn't have very deep soil.

          But they did say that a lot of the improvements come from techniques, and not just doing more land.

          Andit is the oceans that are th elungs of the planet, not the rainforests. The rainforests are just where the biodiversity of the planet is at.

          JM
          Jon Miller-
          I AM.CANADIAN
          GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

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          • #6
            I was under the impression that the soil was incredibly poor and prone to erosion once cleared. Also, I thought that climate forcast was terrible for Brazil.
            "The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists."
            -Joan Robinson

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            • #7
              Brazil wants to become the bread basket for the world.

              Well duh!

              Once they clear the jungle they will have lots of grassland to irrigate!

              Though if I was them I'd cottage like crazy. But on second thought we only have 52 turns left untill the end, so maybe Brazil will try to get a large specialist economy. If they choose to do that they need to go away from Universal Suffrage and go back to representation. Also serfdom might be a good civic for their particular situation since they have the Christo Redento and wouldn't experience any anarchy, this means they could easily run it for 20 or so years and then go for caste system. Also since all the corporations have been already founded and none are owned by them, they should go for state property. They also where rather silly to go for Free Religion since they only have one religion and they would do soo much better during the space race if the went for Organised Religion.
              Modern man calls walking more quickly in the same direction down the same road “change.”
              The world, in the last three hundred years, has not changed except in that sense.
              The simple suggestion of a true change scandalizes and terrifies modern man. -Nicolás Gómez Dávila

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              • #8
                A really stupid idea. Cutting forests down for food? That forest houses 100's of thousands of species of plant and animal, each one containing evolutionary secrets that could cure all our diseases, fix all our disabilities. That forest is a goldmine as it is, but no, lets cut it down and put useless farms there, because Darwin knows, the world is running out of food and we're all dying of starvation.


                P.S. I have decided to replace the word God with Darwin from now on.
                be free

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by Jon Miller
                  Yeah, I was going to say, I thought that rainforest land didn't have very deep soil.

                  But they did say that a lot of the improvements come from techniques, and not just doing more land.

                  Andit is the oceans that are th elungs of the planet, not the rainforests. The rainforests are just where the biodiversity of the planet is at.

                  JM
                  Actually rain forest land has very deep soil (all that water does a lot of chemical weathering) and there was a shortage of stone for native stone age societies. The problem is all that rain tends to beat the soil down compacting it so that is almost concrete with in a few years. It can be turned around though it is hard just like you can fix the lack of nutrients (again all that rain leaches out nutrients) though it means tilling in lots of charcoal and clay based material which tend to trap nutrients into the soil while the charcoal naturally expands and contracts during wet and dry cycles thus loosing soil.
                  Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

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                  • #10
                    We should improve our farming techniques as well. Grain could very well be our next oil. Grain and water.
                    Graffiti in a public toilet
                    Do not require skill or wit
                    Among the **** we all are poets
                    Among the poets we are ****.

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                    • #11
                      also i understand that russia has millions of hectares of land which could be brought into production. i don't how much effort the government is putting into this (if any), perhaps some russian posters can enlighten me.

                      i remember hearing about a scheme years ago which encouraged british farmers (who were struggling at the time) to move to russia and set up there. i don't think there was too much interest then but i wonder if russia will try to encourage immigrants to move in and farm its lands in the future.
                      "The Christian way has not been tried and found wanting, it has been found to be hard and left untried" - GK Chesterton.

                      "The most obvious predicition about the future is that it will be mostly like the past" - Alain de Botton

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