Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

"War on Terror" is a failed strategy ... Rand Corp.

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • "War on Terror" is a failed strategy ... Rand Corp.

    Drop "War On Terror": Rand

    By IOL Staff


    CAIRO — The US should stop using the "war on terror" label and shift its strategy against terror groups from the current heavy dependence on military might to greater use of policing and intelligence work, a leading US think-tank linked to the Pentagon has concluded.
    "The United States should abandon the use of the phrase 'war on terrorism,'" the RAND Corporation said in a new study released on Tuesday, July 29.

    In its study, How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al Qaida, RAND suggests that Washington should replace the so-called "war on terror" with "counter-terrorism".

    "Terrorists should be perceived and described as criminals, not holy warriors," added the think-tank, first formed to offer research and analysis to the US armed forces.

    "It's more than a mere matter of semantics.

    "The term we use to describe our strategy toward terrorists is important, because it affects what kinds of forces you use."

    In the wake of the 9/11 attacks, President George W. Bush unleashed what he describes as a global war against terrorism.

    This included two preemptive wars against Afghanistan and then Iraq, without a UN mandate.

    The White House website has a page on the US-led "global war on terror."

    The Rand study contends that nearly every US ally, including Britain, and Australia, has stopped using the controversial label.

    The British Foreign Office has told UK diplomats and spokespeople around the world to stop using the controversial phrase to "avoid reinforcing and giving succor to the terrorists' narrative by using language that, taken out of context, could be counter-productive."

    For most Muslims, the so-called war on terror seems like a global war on their faith rather than a handful of Muslims with an extremist ideology.

    Critics said that the term was too "military" and did not address the root causes of extremism.

    Others warned that militants use a sense of war and crisis and a "clash of civilizations" to recruit supporters.

    Failed Strategy

    RAND also concluded that the current American strategy that relies too much on military force against terrorist groups has failed.

    "The US cannot conduct an effective long-term counterterrorism campaign against al-Qaeda or other terrorist groups without understanding how terrorist groups end," said Seth Jones, the study's lead author and a political scientist.

    "In most instances, military force is too blunt an instrument to be successful against terrorist groups."

    Researchers at the renowned think tank studied 648 terrorist groups which existed between 1968 and 2006 and found that only a small fraction of them were defeated militarily.

    "Military force was effective in only 7 percent of the cases examined."

    In looking at how other terrorist groups have ended, the study found that most of them end either because they joined the political process, or because local police and intelligence efforts arrested or killed key members.

    A survey by the US Foreign Policy Magazine has showed the majority of leading US experts and former officials believe Washington was losing its war on terror.

    RAND is recommending a new strategy.

    "Police and intelligence agencies, rather than the military, should be the tip of the spear against Al-Qaeda in most of the world," it says.

    "This has significant implications for dealing with Al-Qaeda and suggests fundamentally rethinking post-September 11 counterterrorism strategy."

  • #2
    Didn't everybody with half a brain know 'War on Terror' was a stupid idea by say...2002? I'm sure the government will get around to following this master of the obvious recommendation by sometime in the 2030's.
    The undeserving maintain power by promoting hysteria.

    Comment


    • #3
      CAIRO — The US should stop using the "war on terror" label and shift its strategy against terror groups from the current heavy dependence on military might to greater use of policing and intelligence work, a leading US think-tank linked to the Pentagon has concluded.
      Thats pre-9.11 thinking

      But they're right, as long as AQ has safe haven in Pakistan we're stuck using intel and policing waiting for them to leave or hitting them with a missile.

      Comment


      • #4
        There was no way after 9/11 we weren't going to bomb somebody.
        Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

        Comment


        • #5
          "Bombing somebody" != Maintaining a "war on terror" strategy for 7+ years.

          Just stating the obvious another time.

          Comment


          • #6
            I think it makes a lot more psychological sense to label these vermin as "criminals" rather than cast them as "holy warriors." They are not jihadists; they are murderers.

            Comment


            • #7
              I think it makes a lot more psychological sense to label these vermin as "criminals" rather than cast them as "holy warriors." They are not jihadists; they are murderers.
              We can call then whatever we want, it isn't going to change how they and their culture see them.
              "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Patroklos


                We can call then whatever we want, it isn't going to change how they and their culture see them.
                This is key. As long as the terrorist feel they are in a war, then whatever we call it is just semantics. Call it "The fight to free the Muslim Faith" for all I care, but capture or kill the bad guys all the same.
                "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

                Comment


                • #9
                  I agree that they will always see themselves a holy warriors.

                  The critical thing is how those around them see them. If even we are calling them jihadists, those around them are more likely to see them as Defenders of the Faith. If we, the Pakistanis, Afghans and others are searching for murderers, the locals will be less likely to give them aid and shelter.

                  I'm guessing this is the major reason, 40% of terrorist movements are destroyed using police tactics while only 7% are destroyed by military action.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    The critical thing is how those around them see them. If even we are calling them jihadists, those around them are more likely to see them as Defenders of the Faith. If we, the Pakistanis, Afghans and others are searching for murderers, the locals will be less likely to give them aid and shelter.
                    I have never once been to a brief where we call them "jihadists" or "holy warriors." They are always criminals or terrorists. Hell, many a public speech by all kinds of public officials refers to them as criminals.

                    The only benefit I see from dropping "War on Terror" is we can finally get rid of those annoying graphic intros on news channels and their annoying music.
                    "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Zkribbler
                      I'm guessing this is the major reason, 40% of terrorist movements are destroyed using police tactics while only 7% are destroyed by military action.
                      I wonder in how many of those that police tactics were all that was used. The real question would what % of time police tactics were successful when used and what % of time were military tactics successful when used.

                      In general, I would say that a prudent application of police, intelligence, and military would be the best solution. The key is knowing when to use what. Afghanistan, imho, was a clear example of when to use the military. The IRA, otoh, seems to be a good example of police, intel, and politics working together to be the best solution...the military there didn't seem to solve much.
                      "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Using the right label is actually an important thing - there is a big difference between "honor killing" a "coldblodded murder".

                        Sorry about the threadjack.
                        With or without religion, you would have good people doing good things and evil people doing evil things. But for good people to do evil things, that takes religion.

                        Steven Weinberg

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          The word "war" has certain connotations. One imagines WWII or the American Civil War -- a conflict with a (relatively) discrete beginning and end and with a (relatively) discrete foe.

                          Using "War on Terror" created (and continues to create) the impression that those things exist -- an end to hositilities and a foe to defeat. Neither of those things exist.

                          A word like "criminal" brings to mind police and courts and justice. And, more importantly, a tedious neverending process, which is what any attempt to curb global terrorism will be.
                          The undeserving maintain power by promoting hysteria.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            The label is nonsense. Otoh it isn't all that easy to define "war" clearly, and what we've seen in recent years is that the lines become more and more blurry in many cases. It's quite a problem really since all the "rules" of warfare (Geneva conventions etc.) are mainly made for confrontations between regular armies, which we often do not have in recent conflicts, and in many of them terrorist tactics and various forms of warfare go hand in hand (ME for example).
                            Blah

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Patroklos
                              The only benefit I see from dropping "War on Terror" is we can finally get rid of those annoying graphic intros on news channels and their annoying music.
                              Like that wouldn't be good enough reason.

                              But seriously, what this is getting at isn't so much dropping the label as changing tactics. Threat them as a criminal problem rather than a military one.
                              Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X