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Demographicsthreadi

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  • Demographicsthreadi

    Not about demographics as such, but is anyone here into those demographic explanations for large scale violence and often military expansion? Like that in societies which have large parts of - primarily male - youths on the one hand and not much chances to improve in social status for the mass of those on the other large parts of these guys will resort to any available method to get into a better position. Could be migration, but usually also crime, terrorism or generally increasing support for aggressive/expansive politics or ideologies.

    Now the thing is that some explain stuff like crusades or today islamist extremism primarily as expressions of such demographically "hot" societies, so they see the actual...hmm...manifestation of say terrorism or religious fundyness just as a kind of vehicle while the core of the prob is the demographic situation (so things we usually get as reasons like ideology, imperialism/nationalism, religion or so are just the consequence of it).

    Discuss... or not
    Blah

  • #2
    "those explanations"? Would you care to come up with some examples, sources etc? Or did you just make up that "theory"?

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    • #3
      Bare branch theory
      THEY!!111 OMG WTF LOL LET DA NOMADS AND TEH S3D3NTARY PEOPLA BOTH MAEK BITER AXP3REINCES
      AND TEH GRAAT SINS OF THERE [DOCTRINAL] INOVATIONS BQU3ATH3D SMAL
      AND!!1!11!!! LOL JUST IN CAES A DISPUTANT CALS U 2 DISPUT3 ABOUT THEYRE CLAMES
      DO NOT THAN DISPUT3 ON THEM 3XCAPT BY WAY OF AN 3XTARNAL DISPUTA!!!!11!! WTF

      Comment


      • #4
        Article on argument by some political scientists that skewed sex ratios in places like India and China could tip scales toward war; controversial new book, Bare Branches: The Security Implications of Asia's Surplus Male Population by Andrea M den Boer and Valerie M Hudson, goes further by contending that if young men cannot find wives or jobs or become viable members of society, they could pose threat to internal stability and make governments more likely to create military campaigns to absorb and occupy them; photos (M)
        THEY!!111 OMG WTF LOL LET DA NOMADS AND TEH S3D3NTARY PEOPLA BOTH MAEK BITER AXP3REINCES
        AND TEH GRAAT SINS OF THERE [DOCTRINAL] INOVATIONS BQU3ATH3D SMAL
        AND!!1!11!!! LOL JUST IN CAES A DISPUTANT CALS U 2 DISPUT3 ABOUT THEYRE CLAMES
        DO NOT THAN DISPUT3 ON THEM 3XCAPT BY WAY OF AN 3XTARNAL DISPUTA!!!!11!! WTF

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Ecthy
          "those explanations"? Would you care to come up with some examples, sources etc? Or did you just make up that "theory"?



          Nah....it's mainly about a guy called Gunnar Heinsohn. Sloterdijk likes esp. his work on the demographic problem of so-called youth bulges (what I posted above with too much young guys in certain societies etc). But overall the ...uhm... intellectual establishment here seems to be pretty much split about his stuff, some say it's great, others call it bull. He's into some other stuff that is rather rejected by mainstream history, but the demographics thing surfaces from time to time elsewhere too (for example if you know Münkler's works on 'new' wars, concentrating on conflicts esp. in recent times that don't fit in as classic state/state wars)

          I thought we have someone here who knows about this stuff and could maybe recommend (non-Kraut) books on this. Or tell if the approach is great or not
          Blah

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          • #6
            Thx - reading now.
            Blah

            Comment


            • #7
              You're a name-dropper. I don't care what pop TV philosophers think of theories. Münkler rules tho.

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              • #8
                Münkler
                Blah

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                • #9
                  China vs. India

                  The two countries can agree on periodic wars to burn off their excess male population.
                  Modern man calls walking more quickly in the same direction down the same road “change.”
                  The world, in the last three hundred years, has not changed except in that sense.
                  The simple suggestion of a true change scandalizes and terrifies modern man. -Nicolás Gómez Dávila

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                  • #10
                    Interesting reading.
                    That could explain the success of the 72 virgins marketing campaign.
                    The books that the world calls immoral are the books that show the world its own shame. Oscar Wilde.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Dry
                      Interesting reading.
                      That could explain the success of the 72 virgins marketing campaign.
                      I'm pretty sure the 72 virgins marketing campaign would work amongst a population with a 1:71 male:female ratio. It is interesting reading, though.
                      You've just proven signature advertising works!

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