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Dems Complete Trifecta

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  • Dems Complete Trifecta

    The important election victory today didn't belong to Hillary in the West Virginia primary, but to Travis Childers in Mississippi's first Congressional district. Childers, a Democrat running in a deep-red GOP district (it went for Bush 62-38 in 2004), faced an opponent who ran ads linking Childers to Barak Obama, had Dick Cheney and Gov. Haley Barbour campaigning for him, and even used autodialer messages from Laura Bush. Childers crushed him, 54-46.

    This is the third special election in just a couple of months in which the GOP has failed to hold a seat in a deep-red district (the other two were in Louisiana and Illinois), and the second one in which attempting to invoke Obama as some kind of bogeyman hasn't worked at all.

    In other words, this is really bad news for the GOP.

    Miss. Democrat wins House seat in special election
    By EMILY WAGSTER PETTUS – 1 hour ago

    JACKSON, Miss. (AP) — Mississippi Democrat Travis Childers won a special election to Congress on Tuesday, helping his party to a third victory in recent months for seats long in Republican hands.

    The victory puts Childers into the seat vacated by Roger Wicker, a Republican appointed to the U.S. Senate when Trent Lott resigned. The win also pushes the Democrats to a 236-199 majority in Congress — if only for a few months until November's general elections.

    With all precincts reporting, Childers had 54 percent to Republican Greg Davis' 46 percent.

    Earlier this year, Democrats captured the Illinois district long represented by former Republican Speaker Dennis Hastert, who resigned from Congress, then earlier this month, claimed a seat in Louisiana that Republican Rep. Richard Baker left.

    Marty Wiseman, a political scientist at Mississippi State University, said if Democrats can carry districts that traditionally have been safe bets for the GOP, "Republican strategists have to be terrified."

    "If you think about the House and the Senate ... and the number of Republican Senate seats that are exposed, this could turn into something bigger than the presidential race this fall," Wiseman said Tuesday night.

    ...
    Rest of story at http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g...yK9cwD90L6CP02
    Last edited by Rufus T. Firefly; May 14, 2008, 02:01.
    "I have as much authority as the pope. I just don't have as many people who believe it." — George Carlin

  • #2
    Here's the anti-Obama ads which didn't work.



    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

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    • #3
      I am glad I don't watch TV. Those were horrible.

      JM
      Jon Miller-
      I AM.CANADIAN
      GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

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      • #4
        I'm so glad that election is finally over. You have no idea how much I started hating all adds from all candidates as they for the most part only told me about how bad the other guy was and nothing about them. Though I do have to admit that I was curious about Childers tax troubles. I would have thought that the IRS would have had him in jail if those charges were true.
        I make no bones about my moral support for [terrorist] organizations. - chegitz guevara
        For those who aspire to live in a high cost, high tax, big government place, our nation and the world offers plenty of options. Vermont, Canada and Venezuela all offer you the opportunity to live in the socialist, big government paradise you long for. –Senator Rubio

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        • #5
          You can probably blame the last two losses on poor strategy, the Rev Wright ads.

          The Illinois one was lost in the primary. Jim Oberweiss ran a very negative primary campaign that he won. But there was only a few weeks between the Illinois primary and the special election. Oberweiss was unable to patch things up with his primary opponent. Turn out in the special was lower than expected in the primary opponent's strongholds.
          "The greatest happiness of life is the conviction that we are loved - loved for ourselves, or rather, loved in spite of ourselves."--Victor Hugo

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          • #6
            The higher the oil price goes, the less likely we are going to see a Republican president.

            Wall Street has donated far more to the Obama campaign than to McCain, which has never happened in the past. Hedge fund big shots like George Soros, Warren Buffett are strongly pro Obama. OPEC already did its share of favor to Bush when they drove down the oil price from 80 to 50 during the 2006 election. They won't do that anymore for a lameduck who will be out of office soon.

            So when big money and OPEC join forces, what's the odds of oil price coming down before the election?

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            • #7
              OPEC didn't do squat. Saudi Arabia did.

              In any event you have it backwards. The higher oil prices go the more people will want change and since Republicans have Bush tied around their necks they're just not likely to be thought of as the party of change. Rather people think of them as anti fuel economy standards anti renewables, etc... High oil is a definite help to Democrats who can say "Bush was an oil man, he bent over backwards to help big oil, and you got ****ed".

              I'm not saying that description is accurate, though it has the ring of truth to it, but it will play very well.
              Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

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              • #8
                While this does sound bad for the Repubs in Congress, it doesn't necessarily translate to the White House.
                I'm consitently stupid- Japher
                I think that opinion in the United States is decidedly different from the rest of the world because we have a free press -- by free, I mean a virgorously presented right wing point of view on the air and available to all.- Ned

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                • #9
                  Agreed. It sounds very good for Democratic candidates running for Congress or state office.
                  Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Theben
                    While this does sound bad for the Repubs in Congress, it doesn't necessarily translate to the White House.
                    True, but I'm pretty sure we can take the White House if we don't announce who we'll be nominating until AFTER the November election. Generic Democrats do so much better than real candidates.

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Zkribbler


                      True, but I'm pretty sure we can take the White House if we don't announce who we'll be nominating until AFTER the November election. Generic Democrats do so much better than real candidates.
                      So true. They could use CG technology to produced a photo that morphs FDR, Truman, and JFK!

                      In other news, though (doesn't really deserve its own thread), John Edwards just endorsed Obama.
                      "I have as much authority as the pope. I just don't have as many people who believe it." — George Carlin

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                      • #12
                        What really hurt the GOP is that the NRCC blew a huge fraction of their cash on hand ($1.3 million) trying to defend this ruby red seat (as well as LA-06 and IL-14), only to see an 8% loss. Future fundraising will be badly depressed as a consequence. I'm interested to see if there's going to be any surprise retirement announcements in the coming weeks. Or for that matter, attempted coups in their House leadership (retiring VA Rep. Tom Davis is rumored to be challenging Cole for the Chair of the NRCC)...
                        "Beware of the man who works hard to learn something, learns it, and finds himself no wiser than before. He is full of murderous resentment of people who are ignorant without having come by their ignorance the hard way. "
                        -Bokonon

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                        • #13
                          They definately need a new line of attack as they've totally failed with the "Obama is a LIBERAL" line. Supposedly their new catch phrase is "Republicans deliver the change you deserve". Like anyone will believe that line! "We want to do everything the same as Bush but... er... we still like change".

                          I just don't think that will fly as the Republicans are now the party of the status quo and Bush is going to be a lead anchor around their necks.
                          Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

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                          • #14
                            Those ads are terrible.

                            The worst part about them is the accents. Why does everyone from the southern US sound like they are mentally retarded?
                            "The issue is there are still many people out there that use religion as a crutch for bigotry and hate. Like Ben."
                            Ben Kenobi: "That means I'm doing something right. "

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