Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

US can learn from Japan's crisis

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • US can learn from Japan's crisis

    I don't agree with Japan's financial services minister at all, but I offer his words here for general discussion.

    From the FT...



    US can learn from Japan’s crisis

    By Michiyo Nakamoto in Tokyo

    Published: March 23 2008 22:05 | Last updated: March 23 2008 22:05

    The US should inject public funds into its financial system, which is undergoing a worse crisis than that experienced by Japan during its non-performing loan crisis, according to Japan’s financial services minister.

    “It is essential [for the US] to understand that given Japan’s lesson, public fund injection [into the financial sector] is unavoidable,” Yoshimi Watanabe told the Financial Times.

    Although “it is very difficult for Japan to convey such a message to a foreign government ...Japan could, for example, convey – through the G7 [meeting of finance ministers] or central bank governors’ meeting – Japan’s lesson and that we are prepared to take co-ordinated action if necessary”. to help resolve the situation, Mr Watanabe said.

    US and European central banks are to consider the possibility of using public funds to purchase mortgage-backed securities as a potential remedy for the crisis.

    The remarks are the first public expression of concern by a Japanese cabinet minister that the impact of the current financial market turmoil could be much more serious than Japan’s experience during its “lost decade” of abnormally slow economic growth in the 1990s.

    Mr Watanabe warned unless swift and appropriate action was taken by world leaders, the financial market turmoil could lead to a severe dollar crisis.

    He said the world’s huge excess liquidity has started flowing out of the US. If that flow were to be extended, it could lead to unprecedented problems.

    “One thing is to fix the hole in the bathtub,” he said. “[But] we must recognise that the current crisis is not as straightforward as past dollar crises.”

    He had no comment on whether Japan might cut interest rates in a co-ordinated response. Any decision would be made by the Bank of Japan, responsible for monetary policy but headed currently by an acting governor.

    The minister said that while the US credit turmoil was structurally similar to Japan’s at the time of its bad debt crisis, there was an important difference in that risk in Japan was contained in the banking sector. In the US, it had been dispersed widely into other areas of the financial industry. So “it is not clear how big the hole [in the US] is because the fire has spread to products other than securitised products”.
    I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

  • #2
    After Bear Sterns tanks, other investment banks posts large profits. So no bail out. I, for one, am tired of giving taxpayer money to millionaires and billionaires.

    Comment


    • #3
      Rock on, Z.
      I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

      Comment


      • #4
        Um... I thought we already were injecting public funds?

        Comment


        • #5
          And here's the lede on a sister article from the WSJ (chosen by your's truly)...



          Surging Exports Lighten the Gloom
          Longer-Term Effect
          Is Unclear as Dollar
          Lends a Big Boost
          By TIMOTHY AEPPEL and JOANNA SLATER
          March 24, 2008

          As the dollar skids, dropping earlier this month to a 12-year low against the yen and another record low against the euro, U.S. exports are surging. That is providing a lone bright spot in an otherwise-gloomy economy and distinguishing this downturn from the last recession.

          When the U.S. faced recession in 2001, the greenback's value was riding high relative to other currencies, which hobbled exporters. This time, the opposite is occurring.

          Exports have already helped to counteract the impact of the beleaguered housing market. Over the past six quarters, exports have contributed, on average, nearly one percentage point to economic growth measured at an annual rate, while the housing slump has subtracted just over a percentage point on average during the same period. Indeed, the output of the economy would have already started shrinking in the fourth quarter of last year -- rather than growing -- were it not for the contribution from net exports.
          I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Aeson
            Um... I thought we already were injecting public funds?
            Indeed we are, but indirectly. The Fed is accepting mortgage-backed securities as collateral for the low-interest short-term loans that it offers.
            I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

            Comment


            • #7
              Solution to excess liquidity = inject more money?

              I'm very happy that I don't understand basic economics.

              Comment


              • #8
                There is no more excess liquidity, it has already been vaporized by collapsing asset values. In fact, the situation has turned into a full-blown liquidity crisis: it's very very hard to borrow anything from the bank now.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Let the good times ROLL!
                  Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Blake
                    Solution to excess liquidity = inject more money?

                    I'm very happy that I don't understand basic economics.
                    If you note the article, the Japanese minister is saying the global excess liquidity is flowing OUT of the United States. So there is no more excess liquidity in the US. As One_more_turn has stated, it is gone in the opposite direction.
                    “I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
                    - John 13:34-35 (NRSV)

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Xmas is over, Imran.
                      I'm consitently stupid- Japher
                      I think that opinion in the United States is decidedly different from the rest of the world because we have a free press -- by free, I mean a virgorously presented right wing point of view on the air and available to all.- Ned

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thursday there were some bids for negative returns on 3 month treasuries. A lot of scared money out there right now.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui


                          If you note the article, the Japanese minister is saying the global excess liquidity is flowing OUT of the United States. So there is no more excess liquidity in the US. As One_more_turn has stated, it is gone in the opposite direction.
                          Is excess liquidity a problem?

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Think of it like this:

                            When things are going well...

                            Your neighbor comes and asks you if he can borrow $50 to fill up his gas tank to get to work. You trust him to pay you back, give him the money, he gets to work, and you get your $50 back eventually (maybe with some extra for thanks).

                            Currently in the US...

                            Your neighbor comes and asks you if he can borrow $50 to fill up his gas tank to get to work. You pull a shotgun... and tell your neighbor to get off your lawn. Then late at night you take all your valuables, put them in a tin can, and bury them somewhere in the backyard so no one else could get at them. Your neighbor would lose his job, making him even less trustworthy to pay you back, and you'd count the money you didn't loan to him (and thus lose) as a profit in the books so your wife wouldn't know you blew $50 down at the casino last night.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Ok this "give people their own nation" test has gone on long enough, give it back to England.
                              be free

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X