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Size of China's economy overestimated by ca. 40%

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  • Size of China's economy overestimated by ca. 40%

    ....says the World Bank:

    China's economy, the world's second largest, is not as big as was thought, a report by the World Bank has claimed.

    According to the bank, previous calculations have overestimated the size of China's economy by about 40%.

    The revelation came after the bank updated the way it calculated the country's gross domestic product (GDP).

    The bank said the findings meant China would not become the world's biggest economy in 2012 as forecast. It also meant China was poorer than estimated.

    This in turn would influence future aid and investment plans, the World Bank said.

    China gains extra aid from international institutions and has asked for help in climate change talks because of its status as a developing country.

    Adjusting figures

    Based on the World Bank's new research, China's economy is now worth some $5.33 trillion (£2.64trillion). Despite the drop in size, the economy was still the world's second largest, the bank said.

    The US, at $12 trillion, is the world's largest economy.

    The method used for the calculations is called "purchasing power parity", and corrects for differences in prices, which are lower in China than in Western countries, for the same goods.

    However, the figures show that average incomes in China are still just 10% of those in the US. China averages $4,091 per person, while average income in the US is $41,000.

    Based on current exchange rates, China's economy is only half as big, at $2.24 trillion.

    In previous years, economists have tried to adjust their figures to take into account local prices in developing nations because they were often significantly lower than those in more industrialised countries.

    However, the bank said that many of the prices which were being used were out of date and gave distorted GDP figures.

    This time it has used updated prices to create more accurate figures.

    Global shift

    In its report, the World Bank found that five nations - the US, China, Japan, Germany and India - accounted for nearly half of the world's total GDP.

    But they were not amongst the five most expensive places to live, with that honour going to Iceland, Denmark, Switzerland, Norway and Ireland.

    In Africa, the main drivers of growth were South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria, Morocco and Sudan, which accounted for almost two-thirds of the continent's output.
    BBC, News, BBC News, news online, world, uk, international, foreign, british, online, service


    I wonder if it is only imperialist propaganda, and if the leaders of China find this as insulting as meeting the Dalai Lama.
    Blah

  • #2
    Yes, I just read that. Quite interesting. Still, it is a PPP comparison and thus can be of dubious value when comparing the true might of economies.
    "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

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    • #3
      Eh, it's PPP anyway.

      xpost

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      • #4
        So it's really imperialist propaganda
        Blah

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        • #5
          IMHO, the World Bank doesn't have the credibility of a Turkish used rug salesman.

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          • #6
            Interesting. It rings true from my limited travels that it's pretty cheap to live in the US versus other advanced economies.

            It costs an average Icelander 54% more to live than an average American.

            Here are the relevant tables...

            Last edited by DanS; December 17, 2007, 18:47.
            I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

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            • #7
              Wow, 40%? That is a lot to be off for all those years.
              "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

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              • #8
                They do a big study of it only every 5 or 10 years, IIRC. Especially with a growing economy like China's, it's easy to be far from the mark in the intervening years.
                I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

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                • #9
                  Does this mean anything, economics wise, or just a fun trivia fact?
                  "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

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                  • #10
                    It means a lot economics-wise, even though these things are a challenge to measure. Non-PPP GDP figures are misleading for many/most uses.
                    I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

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                    • #11
                      Excellent, more growth potential just announced

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                      • #12
                        If anything, the Chinese government has tended historically to downplay its economic power. The benefits to be associated with a developing nation status were seen as greater than being seen as a developed nation.

                        The poorest states - mostly from SE Asia and Africa - were responsible for helping mainland China get its seat in the UN and the Security Council and for ousting ROC. Also, the benefits from development aid are very important for the Chinese government, including a lot of quiet money from Japan.
                        "lol internet" ~ AAHZ

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                        • #13
                          The actual story here is that the World Bank made a severe error by overestimating purchasing power parity (a pseudo-scientific rating pretending to be scientific AFAIK) of a country with >1.3 billion people by whopping ~40%.

                          The wording of the article is so misleading for people that don't know what PPP means, you'd think it was done on purpose.

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                          • #14
                            behold the beauty of genocide!
                            Monkey!!!

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