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Will Sudan's North-South Civil restart?

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  • Will Sudan's North-South Civil restart?

    I'm not talking about Darfur where the Islamic Fundamentalist Arab government is attempting to exterminate blacks living in north western Sudan. Instead I am referring to old conflict between the Arab Muslim north and the black Christian south which until 1995 had resulted in a 35 year long civil war. The problem is the peace agreement allows for the south to vote on independence in just 4 years and that the area of Sudan contain virtually all of the oil was traditionally considered part of the south. During the civil war this territory was taken over by the Arab north however the peace agreement called for the north to return that area to the south; something which has not happened because the Arab-Muslims didn't want to give up control over the oil fields.

    Now the south is demanding that the north honor the peace agreement and return control of the oil fields to the Christian south. something which the Muslims don't want to do as most of their money comes from selling that oil. The Muslim north's government is now claiming that the old borders are incorrect and that the borders be redrawn so that the oil fields remain part of their territory.

    so what do you think will happen? Civil war or will an agreement be worked out? If civil war is avoided what will happen if the Christian south votes for independence in four years as the peace treaty allows them to do? Will the Muslim Fundamentalists willingly let go of their main source of income which is not legally their's?
    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

  • #2
    I would guess that it will not end well... this is one of those situations i'd strongly call for international involvement (ie, UN peacekeepers, or an actual international force). From what limited understanding I have of the situation, this is one racial group oppressing another, and reneging on past agreements as well; those are two strong reasons for direct (military) involvement, IMO. Not to overthrow anybody, but just to enforce the peace agreement and ensure no civil war.

    Sadly, not very many people are willing to pay the price that would inevitably go with that...
    <Reverend> IRC is just multiplayer notepad.
    I like your SNOOPY POSTER! - While you Wait quote.

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    • #3
      If that oil rich region in dispute gets bogged down in war I wonder what China would say. They have alot of investment there and are banking on that oil being available.
      "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

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      • #4
        China has already put its support behind the Arabs.

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        • #5
          I think the South has the ability tohalt the flow of oil in spite of whatever support China is giving now. So more specifically, what more would they do to get the oil flowing again and protect its citizens (if they decide they care about them this time that is).
          "The DPRK is still in a state of war with the U.S. It's called a black out." - Che explaining why orbital nightime pictures of NK show few lights. Seriously.

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          • #6
            By support I mean weapons,aircraft,etc.

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            • #7
              WTF is a Civil?
              THEY!!111 OMG WTF LOL LET DA NOMADS AND TEH S3D3NTARY PEOPLA BOTH MAEK BITER AXP3REINCES
              AND TEH GRAAT SINS OF THERE [DOCTRINAL] INOVATIONS BQU3ATH3D SMAL
              AND!!1!11!!! LOL JUST IN CAES A DISPUTANT CALS U 2 DISPUT3 ABOUT THEYRE CLAMES
              DO NOT THAN DISPUT3 ON THEM 3XCAPT BY WAY OF AN 3XTARNAL DISPUTA!!!!11!! WTF

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              • #8
                The South shall rise again!

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