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Canadian dollar almost at parity with US, will pass it soon

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  • Canadian dollar almost at parity with US, will pass it soon

    Prepare for revenge for all of those canadian-currency-value jokes.

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    Canadian Dollar Nears Parity With U.S. Buck
    Wednesday September 19, 2007
    CityNews.ca Staff

    The Canadian dollar has become a lot like Star Trek - it's boldly going where few Canuck bucks have gone before. You may have been sleeping overnight, but the loonie wasn't. It briefly reached the 99 cent U.S. mark in overseas trading, before settling back to a still high 98 cents-plus reading against its U.S. counterpart. It closed at US98.74 cents on Tuesday, the highest final tally of the day since January 1977.

    The surge came after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Tuesday and world oil prices reached a new high. Analysts have been predicting for some time that the rampaging Canadian economy could see our dollar reach parity with the U.S. buck - something hasn't happened in decades. "At this level we'll see parity simply based on people's expectations that it'll hit parity," assures Dale Orr, managing director of Global Insight Canada.

    Depending on who you are and where you are, that's either good news or disaster. Those traveling to the States on vacation this winter could wind up saving a lot of money. So could people who shop over the Internet at U.S. sites.

    But manufacturers who export or sell goods south of the border will be hurt by the higher value. And at least one economic expert with close ties to unions worries about what it all means for jobs in this country. Economist Jim Stanford of the Canadian Auto Workers warns thousands of positions could be lost in the manufacturing sector if the dollar continues to fly high and U.S. industries lose the advantage of making their products north of the border. "There is no silver lining in this cloud, believe me," he adds. "There's no way Canada can succeed in world trade 10 or 20 or 30 years from now if we sit back and watch our whole manufacturing base wither away."

    And our already lagging tourist industry could also be hit, as Americans stop getting a 'bargain' by coming to Canada.

    Stanford would like to see the Bank of Canada emulate the U.S. Fed and cut interest rates here. But most analysts don't think that will happen, because the Canadian economy is outperforming its southern neighbour, inflation pressures remain strong and oil is staying high.
    "The issue is there are still many people out there that use religion as a crutch for bigotry and hate. Like Ben."
    Ben Kenobi: "That means I'm doing something right. "

  • #2
    I know nothing about economics, but I'm going to go ahead and blame Bush for this anyway. Damn you, Dubya!
    1011 1100
    Pyrebound--a free online serial fantasy novel

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    • #3
      Doesn't mean a damn thing, but congrats anyway!
      I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

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      • #4
        I love the fearmongering ... "Industries will wither away". No, no they won't. Really. I promise.

        What will happen is you will lose a bit of your industry, and then the CA$ will drop a bit, until it's profitable again to manufacture north of the border, at which point the CA$ will rise again...

        After all, if having a higher currency than the US was a horrible thing, wouldn't England have gone in the tubes decades ago?
        <Reverend> IRC is just multiplayer notepad.
        I like your SNOOPY POSTER! - While you Wait quote.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by DanS
          Doesn't mean a damn thing, but congrats anyway!
          Aren't you an economist? I'm not and I can see implications.
          "I have never killed a man, but I have read many obituaries with great pleasure." - Clarence Darrow
          "I didn't attend the funeral, but I sent a nice letter saying I approved of it." - Mark Twain

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          • #6
            Originally posted by snoopy369

            After all, if having a higher currency than the US was a horrible thing, wouldn't England have gone in the tubes decades ago?
            Well its big industry has, but for completely different reasons.
            One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by Wezil


              Aren't you an economist? I'm not and I can see implications.
              Presumably he means in and of itself, parity means nothing.
              One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

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              • #8
                That makes no sense.
                "I have never killed a man, but I have read many obituaries with great pleasure." - Clarence Darrow
                "I didn't attend the funeral, but I sent a nice letter saying I approved of it." - Mark Twain

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                • #9
                  import, export, micro and macro. Blah balh meh meh. Things will normalize either way.

                  Of course if you travel or purchase from the internet, you got to love the strong currency.
                  In da butt.
                  "Do not worry if others do not understand you. Instead worry if you do not understand others." - Confucius
                  THE UNDEFEATED SUPERCITIZEN w:4 t:2 l:1 (DON'T ASK!)
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                  • #10
                    Parity means nothing, in and of itself. CA$ 0.98:US$1.00 as opposed to CA$1.02:US$1.00 are essentially identical situations. What is relevant to the industry calculation is the cost in US$ of doing business in Canada versus the cost of such in the US. If that comparitive cost hasn't changed much (4% in that example) then who cares?

                    If the Yen were to be 20:1 USD, that would be a lot more of a concern for Japan than CA$ 1: US$1, for example. Parity in and of itself is meaningless.
                    <Reverend> IRC is just multiplayer notepad.
                    I like your SNOOPY POSTER! - While you Wait quote.

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                    • #11
                      The point isn't parity. It's just the current level.

                      The Canadian dollar is soaring and the US dollar is falling, soon it won't be at parity.
                      "The issue is there are still many people out there that use religion as a crutch for bigotry and hate. Like Ben."
                      Ben Kenobi: "That means I'm doing something right. "

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Elok
                        I know nothing about economics, but I'm going to go ahead and blame Bush for this anyway. Damn you, Dubya!
                        Good instinct.

                        And yes this would make imports from the US a little more attractive, but I'm not holding my breath.

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                        • #13
                          whoha, it woudl be a better point if you guys would be still manufacturing a lot.

                          However, I don't mind that weak dollar, gives me better purchasing power. I like internet shopping, especially Amazon and the likes Weak dollar means more books for me
                          In da butt.
                          "Do not worry if others do not understand you. Instead worry if you do not understand others." - Confucius
                          THE UNDEFEATED SUPERCITIZEN w:4 t:2 l:1 (DON'T ASK!)
                          "God is dead" - Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" - God.

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Asher
                            The point isn't parity. It's just the current level.

                            The Canadian dollar is soaring and the US dollar is falling, soon it won't be at parity.
                            Time to move my savings from an American to a Canadian bank.

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Pekka
                              whoha, it woudl be a better point if you guys would be still manufacturing a lot.

                              However, I don't mind that weak dollar, gives me better purchasing power. I like internet shopping, especially Amazon and the likes Weak dollar means more books for me
                              Shipping and handling costs seem to be eating the benefit in ordering from Amazon.com as opposed to Amazon.co.uk, though.

                              Also, if you don't order books, you'll have to pay VAT on things ordered from outside the EEA if the value of the order goes beyond a certain amount. (You'd have to pay on books too but the VAT on books is so low that it's not really an issue.)
                              Cake and grief counseling will be available at the conclusion of the test. Thank you for helping us help you help us all!

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