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  • UK needs a two-child limit, says population report

    so say

    · Highest fertility rate in 26 years 'unsustainable'· Thinktank calls for better funded family planning

    and
    Optimum Population Trust


    UK needs a two-child limit, says population report

    John Vidal, environment editor
    Wednesday July 11, 2007
    The Guardian

    Families should restrict themselves to having a maximum of two children to stabilise the effect on the environment of Britain's rapidly growing population, a thinktank warns today.

    According to the Optimum Population Trust, Britain's rising birth rate, currently growing at the highest rate for nearly 30 years, should be considered an environmental liability.

    "Each new UK birth, through the inevitable resource consumption and pollution that UK affluence generates, is responsible for about 160 times as much climate-related environmental damage as a new birth in Ethiopia, or 35 times as much as a new birth in Bangladesh," the report says.


    It calls on the government to introduce a "stop at two children" or "have one child less" guideline and to review incentives that may lead some teenage girls to become pregnant.

    "A voluntary stop-at-two guideline should be adopted for couples in the UK who want to adopt greener lifestyles. It would aim to set an example," it says.

    The author of the report, John Guillebaud, professor of family planning and reproductive health at University College, London, made the call after figures from the office of national statistics showed 669,531 babies were born in Britain last year, with the UK having the highest teenage pregnancy rate in western Europe.

    While most of Britain's annual population rise of nearly 300,000 people is from immigration, only 21.9% of new births were last year to non-UK born mothers, says Prof Guillebaud. Each woman in England and Wales, he says, can now be expected to have 1.87 children, the highest total fertility rate for 26 years.

    Unless action is taken the UK population will grow by a further 10 million by 2074, says the report.

    "UK population has grown by 20% since 1950 - in less than a lifetime. There are more than 60 million people now living in the UK, one of the most densely populated countries in the world, and our numbers are rising faster than ever before.

    "UK population is growing by the equivalent of a city larger than Cardiff every year."

    Voluntary population stabilisation programmes have a proven record of success, says Prof Guillebaud. "A voluntary 'two-child' population policy in Iran, for example, succeeded in halving fertility in eight years, as fast a rate of decrease as that of China, whose much-criticised one-child policy began in 1980."

    But Dr Guillebaud says the NHS must take much of the blame for not limiting unwanted teenage pregnancies. "This is ... related to the disastrous trend ... for primary care trusts to shut down community family planning clinics."

    The report, which is published on world population day, says that the planet faces the biggest generation of young people in history - what it terms a "youthquake" - with major social implications.

    A mix of high population and rising consumption means that humanity is currently outstripping the biological capacity of the Earth by 25% a year. By 2050, when global population is projected at 9.2 billion - 2.5 billion rise - humans will be using the biocapacity of two earths.

    The report suggests compulsory limits on births may become unavoidable in as more pressure is put on world resources.

    Prof Guillemaud says: "No one is in favour of governments dictating family size but we need to act quickly to prevent it. Worldwide, those who continue to place obstacles in the way of women who want to control their fertility will have only themselves to blame, as more and more regimes bring in coercive measures.

    "Despite the catastrophic current increase of an extra 1.5 million humans per week, there is still a slim chance that such measures can be avoided."
    I don't have any opinion, except that why he doesn't try to promote technological development?

    Maybe because it's doesn't fit his ideology.
    Last edited by CrONoS; July 22, 2007, 21:44.
    bleh

  • #2
    It's not developed nations that need to cut back their population increases.

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    • #3
      Um developed nations do NOT want to engage in a breeding contest .

      Each woman in England and Wales, he says, can now be expected to have 1.87 children, the highest total fertility rate for 26 years.
      Okay so that's under 2 children per couple.

      So I guess what they want to do is to get it far below 2, but not by introducing some kind of implicit "1 child rule, with child-credit trading" type policy.

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      • #4
        Developed nations have an established, working infrastructure for educating children.

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        • #5
          Have more kids or the schools will go out of business?

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          • #6
            No, more children in developed countries is better than more children in developing countries, because the former are likely to be more productive (due to better education, more opportunities, etc.).

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            • #7
              Why not spend those resources uplifting the education of developing countries?

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              • #8
                What?

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                • #9
                  The infrastructure in developed nations is already in place. Therefore if you spend $X educating a child in [developed nation] and $X educating a child in [developing nation], the former will probably end up more productive. And, the developed nations aren't obligated to spend all their money educating developing nations' children.

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                  • #10
                    But classrooms are already too big in developed nations, less children per teacher would improve the quality of education received.

                    Besides it's not really about reducing the number of children, it's closer to keeping the (total) number of children constant, rather than increasing.

                    Which means the existing infrastructure (buildings, teachers, textbooks, computers etc) will suffice just fine, especially considering that it is all impermanent and subject to constant renewal anyway.

                    Developing nations aren't obliged to help developing nations, but it's certainly the responsible thing to do, especially when it comes to education, after all education (and resultant higher prosperity) is the best way to reduce family size - it helps solves the problem.

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                    • #11
                      Let's look at this objectively. Let's look at land of the Mother of all Queens. It's a rock, and a comparatively small rock.
                      So you have this teeming mass of humanity, jammed together on a rock, polluting. Well, the conclusion becomes clear.
                      Nip it in the bud.
                      Life is not measured by the number of breaths you take, but by the moments that take your breath away.
                      "Hating America is something best left to Mobius. He is an expert Yank hater.
                      He also hates Texans and Australians, he does diversify." ~ Braindead

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Blake
                        But classrooms are already too big in developed nations, less children per teacher would improve the quality of education received.
                        That doesn't speak to my point at all. (Note that it would increase the quality per student.)

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                        • #13
                          The article reads as though he wants chavscumTM to stop breeding. Hence the focus on teenage pregnancies.
                          One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Kuciwalker
                            No, more children in developed countries is better than more children in developing countries, because the former are likely to be more productive (due to better education, more opportunities, etc.).
                            Cost benefit maybe for a country, but on a personal basis having a lot of kids are more useful to families in developing nations because they start income earning a lot earlier and don't tend to need education to do what they do.

                            Of course, that's one of the reasons why birth rates are high in the developing world and low in the developed world. Kids are expensive here.
                            One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

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                            • #15
                              I agree with Kuci

                              JM
                              Jon Miller-
                              I AM.CANADIAN
                              GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

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