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  • But Can They Run a Horse Show? Steal Your Rights? Hand Out Contracts to Friends?

    October 17, 2006
    Op-Ed Contributor
    Can You Tell a Sunni From a Shiite?
    By JEFF STEIN

    Washington

    FOR the past several months, I’ve been wrapping up lengthy interviews with Washington counterterrorism officials with a fundamental question: “Do you know the difference between a Sunni and a Shiite?”

    A “gotcha” question? Perhaps. But if knowing your enemy is the most basic rule of war, I don’t think it’s out of bounds. And as I quickly explain to my subjects, I’m not looking for theological explanations, just the basics: Who’s on what side today, and what does each want?

    After all, wouldn’t British counterterrorism officials responsible for Northern Ireland know the difference between Catholics and Protestants? In a remotely similar but far more lethal vein, the 1,400-year Sunni-Shiite rivalry is playing out in the streets of Baghdad, raising the specter of a breakup of Iraq into antagonistic states, one backed by Shiite Iran and the other by Saudi Arabia and other Sunni states.

    A complete collapse in Iraq could provide a haven for Al Qaeda operatives within striking distance of Israel, even Europe. And the nature of the threat from Iran, a potential nuclear power with protégés in the Gulf states, northern Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories, is entirely different from that of Al Qaeda. It seems silly to have to argue that officials responsible for counterterrorism should be able to recognize opportunities for pitting these rivals against each other.

    But so far, most American officials I’ve interviewed don’t have a clue. That includes not just intelligence and law enforcement officials, but also members of Congress who have important roles overseeing our spy agencies. How can they do their jobs without knowing the basics?

    My curiosity about our policymakers’ grasp of Islam’s two major branches was piqued in 2005, when Jon Stewart and other TV comedians made hash out of depositions, taken in a whistleblower case, in which top F.B.I. officials drew blanks when asked basic questions about Islam. One of the bemused officials was Gary Bald, then the bureau’s counterterrorism chief. Such expertise, Mr. Bald maintained, wasn’t as important as being a good manager.

    A few months later, I asked the F.B.I.’s spokesman, John Miller, about Mr. Bald’s comments. “A leader needs to drive the organization forward,” Mr. Miller told me. “If he is the executive in a counterterrorism operation in the post-9/11 world, he does not need to memorize the collected statements of Osama bin Laden, or be able to read Urdu to be effective. ... Playing ‘Islamic Trivial Pursuit’ was a cheap shot for the lawyers and a cheaper shot for the journalist. It’s just a gimmick.”

    Of course, I hadn’t asked about reading Urdu or Mr. bin Laden’s writings.

    A few weeks ago, I took the F.B.I.’s temperature again. At the end of a long interview, I asked Willie Hulon, chief of the bureau’s new national security branch, whether he thought that it was important for a man in his position to know the difference between Sunnis and Shiites. “Yes, sure, it’s right to know the difference,” he said. “It’s important to know who your targets are.”

    That was a big advance over 2005. So next I asked him if he could tell me the difference. He was flummoxed. “The basics goes back to their beliefs and who they were following,” he said. “And the conflicts between the Sunnis and the Shia and the difference between who they were following.”

    O.K., I asked, trying to help, what about today? Which one is Iran — Sunni or Shiite? He thought for a second. “Iran and Hezbollah,” I prompted. “Which are they?”

    He took a stab: “Sunni.”

    Wrong.

    Al Qaeda? “Sunni.”

    Right.

    AND to his credit, Mr. Hulon, a distinguished agent who is up nights worrying about Al Qaeda while we safely sleep, did at least know that the vicious struggle between Islam’s Abel and Cain was driving Iraq into civil war. But then we pay him to know things like that, the same as some members of Congress.

    Take Representative Terry Everett, a seven-term Alabama Republican who is vice chairman of the House intelligence subcommittee on technical and tactical intelligence.

    “Do you know the difference between a Sunni and a Shiite?” I asked him a few weeks ago.

    Mr. Everett responded with a low chuckle. He thought for a moment: “One’s in one location, another’s in another location. No, to be honest with you, I don’t know. I thought it was differences in their religion, different families or something.”

    To his credit, he asked me to explain the differences. I told him briefly about the schism that developed after the death of the Prophet Muhammad, and how Iraq and Iran are majority Shiite nations while the rest of the Muslim world is mostly Sunni. “Now that you’ve explained it to me,” he replied, “what occurs to me is that it makes what we’re doing over there extremely difficult, not only in Iraq but that whole area.”

    Representative Jo Ann Davis, a Virginia Republican who heads a House intelligence subcommittee charged with overseeing the C.I.A.’s performance in recruiting Islamic spies and analyzing information, was similarly dumbfounded when I asked her if she knew the difference between Sunnis and Shiites.

    “Do I?” she asked me. A look of concentration came over her face. “You know, I should.” She took a stab at it: “It’s a difference in their fundamental religious beliefs. The Sunni are more radical than the Shia. Or vice versa. But I think it’s the Sunnis who’re more radical than the Shia.”

    Did she know which branch Al Qaeda’s leaders follow?

    “Al Qaeda is the one that’s most radical, so I think they’re Sunni,” she replied. “I may be wrong, but I think that’s right.”

    Did she think that it was important, I asked, for members of Congress charged with oversight of the intelligence agencies, to know the answer to such questions, so they can cut through officials’ puffery when they came up to the Hill?

    “Oh, I think it’s very important,” said Ms. Davis, “because Al Qaeda’s whole reason for being is based on their beliefs. And you’ve got to understand, and to know your enemy.”

    It’s not all so grimly humorous. Some agency officials and members of Congress have easily handled my “gotcha” question. But as I keep asking it around Capitol Hill and the agencies, I get more and more blank stares. Too many officials in charge of the war on terrorism just don’t care to learn much, if anything, about the enemy we’re fighting. And that’s enough to keep anybody up at night.

    Jeff Stein is the national security editor at Congressional Quarterly
    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

  • #2
    Oerdin's figured out how to avoid self-pwnage - he just won't post anything at all, so no one can prove him wrong.

    Comment


    • #3
      Unbelievable!

      (@ the fact the counter-terrorism experts wouldn't know this)
      THEY!!111 OMG WTF LOL LET DA NOMADS AND TEH S3D3NTARY PEOPLA BOTH MAEK BITER AXP3REINCES
      AND TEH GRAAT SINS OF THERE [DOCTRINAL] INOVATIONS BQU3ATH3D SMAL
      AND!!1!11!!! LOL JUST IN CAES A DISPUTANT CALS U 2 DISPUT3 ABOUT THEYRE CLAMES
      DO NOT THAN DISPUT3 ON THEM 3XCAPT BY WAY OF AN 3XTARNAL DISPUTA!!!!11!! WTF

      Comment


      • #4
        Agreed. I see no explination how a counter terrorism expert wouldn't know something this basic unless it is because they're given their job based on their political leanings instead of any measure of skill or competance on their part.
        Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

        Comment


        • #5
          I read this report earlier, it certainly makes one wonder why one should take at face value anything the counterintelligence (oops mean counterterrorism) 'experts' have to say on anything.

          But I suppose the next leaked NIE will no doubt be proclaimed as proof positive about this that or the other thing.
          "Just puttin on the foil" - Jeff Hanson

          “In a democracy, I realize you don’t need to talk to the top leader to know how the country feels. When I go to a dictatorship, I only have to talk to one person and that’s the dictator, because he speaks for all the people.” - Jimmy Carter

          Comment


          • #6
            It's really appalling that we're 5 years removed from 9/11 and 3 years removed from the Iraq invasion and top officials like those people know so little.

            -Arrian
            grog want tank...Grog Want Tank... GROG WANT TANK!

            The trick isn't to break some eggs to make an omelette, it's convincing the eggs to break themselves in order to aspire to omelettehood.

            Comment


            • #7
              Post a picture of an enemy, and a picture of a civilian.
              Life is not measured by the number of breaths you take, but by the moments that take your breath away.
              "Hating America is something best left to Mobius. He is an expert Yank hater.
              He also hates Texans and Australians, he does diversify." ~ Braindead

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe
                But I suppose the next leaked NIE will no doubt be proclaimed as proof positive about this that or the other thing.


                *cough*
                Last edited by Darius871; October 18, 2006, 13:46.
                Unbelievable!

                Comment


                • #9
                  NIE = National Intelligence Estimate?
                  Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Oerdin
                    NIE = National Intelligence Estimate?
                    *cough* *cough*
                    Unbelievable!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Now we see why they've been acting so clueless. It's because they are clueless.
                      Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Anyone want to bet this reporter could ask the same questions next year and the people in charge still won't know the anwser?
                        Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          It's pretty good pwnage, considering what those guys do for a living.

                          That being said, I'm here abroad representing America, and I can't tell you the difference between a Baptist and a Methodist.
                          "I have as much authority as the pope. I just don't have as many people who believe it." — George Carlin

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Then again Methodists and Baptists haven't been slaughtering each other for 1300 years, creating countervailing states, carrying out massive acts of international terror, etc...
                            Unbelievable!

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Darius871
                              Then again Methodists and Baptists haven't been slaughtering each other for 1300 years, creating countervailing states, carrying out massive acts of international terror, etc...
                              Or so they'd have you believe...
                              "I have as much authority as the pope. I just don't have as many people who believe it." — George Carlin

                              Comment

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