One of my professors had a rather good class on ehtnic violence and how it spreads, and it also included some of the rationale for why irregular forces could last long in an insurgency, essentially in the different balance of terror between rebels and the military. Anyways, he had a paper on the Algerian civil war in which he was trying to come up with a formula to explain the workings of, well, I forget what exactly, but he was tyring to use calculus to understand the way violence was used in Algeria..
beware, there is some math.
for part 1, click on w6717 and for part 2, click on w10004. (you have to pay, I have them as part of the course, but they are too big to attach)
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