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Seeing as after almost three years the pro war people on Poly have been proved almost entirely wrong to a man (in fact, has there been a single thing they were right about?
), it's time to gaze into our crystal balls again and predict the future of Iraq. Or in the case of the anti war people, use our common sense...
With the way the elections are going, it seems like only a matter of time before the pro Iranian Islamists gain an upper hand in Iraq govt. As the increasingly Shi'ite dominated security forces strengthen, the Sunni insurgency will become increasingly marginalised reduced to fighting more or less a 'civil war' against the Iraqi state as Sunni power increasingly ebbs away.
As for the Kurds, I think they're happy with their de facto independent state in the north as long as there's no interference from the rest of the country why should they interfere with the dealings of the south. By not trying to secede, they should be able to avoid any problems from Turkey.
And at the end of the day the pro Iranian south will probably sell their oil to the Chinese just to spite the US...
Just guessing mind you, but strengthening your enemy and losing access to much of one of the world's largest oil reserves seems a pretty poor return on thousands of dead and injured soldiers and hundreds of billions of dollars spent...
), it's time to gaze into our crystal balls again and predict the future of Iraq. Or in the case of the anti war people, use our common sense...With the way the elections are going, it seems like only a matter of time before the pro Iranian Islamists gain an upper hand in Iraq govt. As the increasingly Shi'ite dominated security forces strengthen, the Sunni insurgency will become increasingly marginalised reduced to fighting more or less a 'civil war' against the Iraqi state as Sunni power increasingly ebbs away.
As for the Kurds, I think they're happy with their de facto independent state in the north as long as there's no interference from the rest of the country why should they interfere with the dealings of the south. By not trying to secede, they should be able to avoid any problems from Turkey.
And at the end of the day the pro Iranian south will probably sell their oil to the Chinese just to spite the US...
Just guessing mind you, but strengthening your enemy and losing access to much of one of the world's largest oil reserves seems a pretty poor return on thousands of dead and injured soldiers and hundreds of billions of dollars spent...
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