Originally posted by Sava
famous last words, diplomat
famous last words, diplomat
Diplomat, let me tell you what will happen in Iraq. We'll draw down next summer since Congressional elections are coming and that will produce a power vacuum. Currently the Iraqi forces aren't even close to up to the job and the Iraqi ministries can't even pay their people on time much less complete civic projects so no one has faith in them. The odds are at least even that as soon as we're mostly out the door this country is going to decend into civil war. If we're lucky it will be a low intensity civil war like Nicaragua and if we're unlucky it will be like in the Balkans complete with death squads.
One thing is clear and that is the foreign troops are the only thing keeping a lid on this currently and once they're gone the odds are things will get much messier.
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